Atlanta United II vs Cincinnati 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro
Soccer MLS Next Pro Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2
Result
0:1 penalties
09/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.34
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
89% (586/659)72% (199/275)
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.400.07
Total shots
117
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
89% (586/659)72% (199/275)
Long passes
59% (47/79)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
69% (82/118)58% (50/86)
Crosses
26% (5/19)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.52
Throw-ins
1317
Fouls
1316
Tackles
82% (9/11)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
1319
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.070.40
Goals prevented
0.070.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Hurtado D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Caicedo Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Brennan L. ↓, Neri R. ↑,
  • 46', Cobb N. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
  • 67', Locker C. ↓, Manfroy B. ↑,
  • 68', Tablante M. ↓, Carmichael R. ↑,
  • 72', Manfroy B. 🟨,
  • 73', Sanchez C. 🟨,
  • 74', Sanchez C. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
  • 78', Augee B. ↓, Kristel B. ↑,
  • 78', Togashi C. ↓, Weah P. ↑,
  • 86', Chirila A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Caicedo Y. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Armas J. (Pen),
  • 1, Ikoba T. (Pen),
  • 2, Mazzaferro S. (Pen),
  • 2, Mangione P. (Pen),
  • 3, Neri R. (Pen),
  • 3, Chavez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Chong-Qui D. (Pen),
  • 4, Adnan N. (Pen),
  • 5, Moore K. (Pen),
  • 5, Daley A. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Atlanta United II
55.6%		Draw
22%		Cincinnati 2
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 21.6% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 22% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
    •

    Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.65 ↓
    (1.77)    		 4.17 ↓
    (4.28)    		 4.1 ↑
    (3.49)    		 8.8%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
    • Atlanta United II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cincinnati 2 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Cincinnati 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Atlanta United II has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Atlanta United II is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta United II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Atlanta United II 1:0
    21.04.2024 Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 1:4
    02.09.2023 Atlanta United II - Cincinnati 2 3:1
    25.05.2023 Cincinnati 2 - Atlanta United II 2:1
    Latest results of Atlanta United II
    29.06.2025 Inter Miami II - Atlanta United II Postponed
    11.06.2025 Atlanta United II - Huntsville City 0:1
    06.06.2025 Atlanta United II - New York City II 2:3
    30.05.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Atlanta United II 1:0
    25.05.2025 Atlanta United II - Orlando City B 3:0
    Latest results of Cincinnati 2
    06.07.2025 Cincinnati 2 - New York City II 3:2 ✺
    29.06.2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - Cincinnati 2 3:4
    21.06.2025 Chattanooga - Cincinnati 2 0:1
    15.06.2025 New England Revolution II - Cincinnati 2 0:1
    08.06.2025 Cincinnati 2 - Toronto FC II 2:1
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2171022341:3036
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    4New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    5Toronto FC II16604618:2522
    6New York City II16523630:3322
    7Cincinnati 216270715:2320
    8Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga16822424:2130
    2Huntsville14632329:1726
    3Orlando City B16621723:2923
    4Crown Legacy16335523:2720
    5Carolina Core16334620:2119
    6Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    7Atlanta United 214225519:2315


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    7Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2171210436:2438
    2Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Austin FC II16533519:2024
    5Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2171022341:3036
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chattanooga16822424:2130
    4Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    5Huntsville14632329:1726
    6New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    7Orlando City B16621723:2923
    8Toronto FC II16604618:2522
    9New York City II16523630:3322
    10Crown Legacy16335523:2720
    11Cincinnati 216270715:2320
    12Carolina Core16334620:2119
    13Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    14Atlanta United 214225519:2315
    15Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2171210436:2438
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    4North Texas16721628:3126
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II16533519:2024
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    9Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    13Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    14Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335

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