Brisbane Lightning vs Perth Thunder: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Brisbane Lightning - Perth Thunder
Result
2:3
11/05/2025 at 01:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AIHL
Brisbane Lightning - Perth Thunder - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 10:24, 0 - 1, Lachowicz R. (G), Lodge L. (A), Kudla D. (A2)
  • 14:39, 1 - 1, Sturny J. (G), Gendunov B. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:43, 2 - 1, Rapchuk S. (G), Gendunov B. (A), Sturny J. (A2)
  • 04:00, 2 - 2, Hikosaka Y. (G), Breault B. (A), Hamilon J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 11:52, 2 - 3, Kyros J. (G),

Chances of winning


Brisbane Lightning
32.5%
Draw
20.2%
Perth Thunder
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 18.3% 48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 17.9% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Perth Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Perth Thunder aligns with the current prediction.
  • Brisbane Lightning - Perth Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.73)
    4.49
    (4.96)
    1.92
    (1.88)
    10.1%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Perth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Perth could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Brisbane will win today's game, with odds of 2.74.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 3.2:5.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:16. (average 4.7:5.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lightning - Perth Thunder were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Brisbane Lightning - Perth Thunder 6:5
    10.08.2024 Perth Thunder - Brisbane Lightning 6:0
    07.04.2024 Brisbane Lightning - Perth Thunder 1:5
    20.05.2023 Brisbane Lightning - Perth Thunder 7:6
    Latest results of Brisbane Lightning
    Latest results of Perth Thunder
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Melbourne Ice13913080:3932
    2Brisbane Lightning10612147:3822
    3Perth12701464:5122
    4Melbourne Mustangs11520458:4119
    5Newcastle12420657:5816
    6CBR Brave12320750:6513
    7Central Coast Rhinos12122742:679
    8Adelaide12202837:768

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