Result
05/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Tocantinópolis 28.2% | Draw 29% | Maranhão 42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Tocantinópolis - Maranhão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.21 ↓ (3.25) |
3.11 ↓ (3.15) |
2.11 ↑ (2.07) |
10.7% (10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Maranhão will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tocantinópolis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tocantinópolis won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tocantinópolis won against Maranhão?
Tocantinópolis has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maranhão won against Tocantinópolis?
Maranhão has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tocantinópolis - Maranhão were as follows:
10.05.2025
Maranhão
-
Tocantinópolis
2:3
18.06.2024
Tocantinópolis
-
Maranhão
1:1
02.06.2024
Maranhão
-
Tocantinópolis
0:1
16.07.2023
Maranhão
-
Tocantinópolis
2:1
14.05.2023
Tocantinópolis
-
Maranhão
0:0
Latest results of Tocantinópolis
Latest results of Maranhão
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Tuna Luso | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 21 |
2 | Manauara | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 21:7 | 14 | 20 |
3 | Aguia De Maraba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 15 |
4 | Independencia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
5 | Manaus | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
6 | Trem | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
7 | GAS | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 |
8 | Humaita | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8:37 | -29 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | AE Altos | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Imperatriz | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Sampaio Correa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
4 | Maranhao | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
5 | Iguatu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
6 | Tocantinopolis | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
7 | Parnahyba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
8 | Maracana | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Santa Cruz | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Central SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 20 |
3 | America RN | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
4 | Ferroviario | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 |
5 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 |
6 | Sousa | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Treze PB | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 10 |
8 | Horizonte | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | ASA | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
2 | Sergipe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:6 | 6 | 17 |
3 | Jequie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Juazeirense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
5 | Lagarto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
7 | Barcelona | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 8 |
8 | SC Penedense | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Aparecidense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Ceilandia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Luverdense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Mixto | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Capital | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 13 |
6 | Goianesia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
7 | Porto Velho | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 6 |
8 | Goiania | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Portuguesa | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
2 | Rio Branco ES | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | Agua Santa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 |
4 | Pouso Alegre | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
5 | Marica | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
6 | Porto Vitoria | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
7 | Nova Iguacu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
8 | Boavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Inter de Limeira | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 |
2 | Uberlandia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:13 | 5 | 14 |
3 | Goiatuba | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
4 | Cascavel | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
5 | Cianorte | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
6 | Monte Azul | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
7 | Operario MS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 9 |
8 | Itabirito | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8:15 | -7 | 9 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Barra FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 20 |
2 | Joinville | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 19 |
3 | EC Sao Jose | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Marcilio Dias | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
5 | Azuriz | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
6 | Brasil de Pelotas | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
7 | Sao Luiz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
8 | Guarany de Bage | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Tocantinópolis - Maranhão?
It is being streamed on various channels, including: