Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship
Soccer USL Championship Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights
Result
4:3
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.10
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
73% (255/348)79% (333/422)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.971.55
Total shots
169
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
73% (255/348)79% (333/422)
Long passes
42% (26/62)48% (40/83)
Passes in final third
62% (78/126)59% (64/109)
Crosses
29% (6/21)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.01
Throw-ins
1323
Fouls
1217
Tackles
56% (9/16)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5547
Clearances
2423
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.551.97
Goals prevented
-1.45-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Marcos Serrato ⚽,
  • 16', 2 - 0, Webber J. ⚽, St.Clair H. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Stojanovic S. (A),
  • 39', Gartig E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 2, Smart S. ⚽, Nigro G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', Howell M. ↓, Boudadi Y. ↑,
  • 60', Goldthorp E. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
  • 60', Stauffer L. ↓, Pierre D. ↑,
  • 60', Webber J. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
  • 62', 2 - 3, Smart S. ⚽,
  • 71', Stojanovic S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
  • 71', Leal P. ↓, O'Driscoll R. ↑,
  • 75', Smart S. 🟨,
  • 76', 3 - 3, Calheira T. ⚽, Marcos Serrato (A),
  • 81', Noel V. ↓, Gannon C. ↑,
  • 82', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
  • 85', Pierre D. 🟨,
  • 87', Pearson C. 🟨,
  • 89', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', O'Driscoll R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 4 - 3, Gartig E. (Own goal),
  • 90+5', Marcos Serrato ↓, Colli G. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tulsa
54.3%		Draw
26%		Las Vegas Lights
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 27.3% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 26.4% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
    •

    Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.7 ↓
    (1.83)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.37)    		 4.7 ↑
    (4.11)    		 8.2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tulsa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Las Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tulsa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Las Vegas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tulsa is the team to beat.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:4
    11.09.2024 Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights 1:1
    16.03.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:3
    13.05.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Tulsa 1:1
    Latest results of Tulsa
    05.07.2025 Miami - Tulsa 2:2
    28.06.2025 Tulsa - Chattanooga Red Wolves 4:1
    14.06.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺
    07.06.2025 Sacramento Republic - Tulsa 0:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    04.07.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺
    28.06.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Spokane Velocity 2:0
    21.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    14.06.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 2:0
    07.06.2025 San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights 3:0
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 28216155:193669
    2Charleston ✔ 27184559:293058
    3Hartford Athletic ✔ 281351046:321444
    4Loudoun ✔ 281261044:45-142
    5North Carolina ✔ 281251139:39041
    6Pittsburgh ✔ 281171029:28140
    7Rhode Island281071128:27137
    8Detroit28981131:33-235
    9Indy Eleven28951441:49-832
    10Tampa Bay28861439:47-830
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC28661625:42-1724


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 28158546:291753
    2Sacramento Republic ✔ 28129743:261745
    3New Mexico ✔ 281351040:37344
    4El Paso281010844:39540
    5San Antonio281071134:35-137
    6Lexington29991131:39-836
    7Phoenix Rising28812847:48-136
    8Orange County SC28981142:44-235
    9Colorado Springs28971234:44-1034
    10Oakland Roots28771436:49-1328
    11Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    12Las Vegas Lights28681422:48-2626

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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