Forward Madison vs One Knoxville: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL League One Forward Madison - One Knoxville
Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL League One
Forward Madison - One Knoxville - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.11
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
89% (408/458)83% (250/301)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.170.69
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2519
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
89% (408/458)83% (250/301)
Long passes
55% (26/47)61% (39/64)
Passes in final third
79% (105/133)65% (58/89)
Crosses
38% (5/13)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.53
Throw-ins
915
Fouls
1012
Tackles
60% (6/10)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3338
Clearances
2019
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.692.17
Goals prevented
-1.310.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Crull J. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Diene B. , Goling M. (A),
  • 45+2', Mesias A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Bull , Ritchie S. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Gebhard D. ,
  • 57', Johnson C. 🟨,
  • 62', Diene B. , Meek L. ,
  • 62', Rosamilia N. , Smith K. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Haugli S. ,
  • 69', Garcia C. , Viader D. ,
  • 69', Mesias A. , Angking I. ,
  • 77', Lucca Dourado , Boyce D. ,
  • 82', Zarokostas S. , Calixtro G. ,
  • 87', Murphy J. , Temitayo E. ,
  • 90', Goling M. , Caputo A. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, McLaughlin G. , Chilaka M. (A),

Chances of winning


Forward Madison
31.3%
Draw
29.6%
One Knoxville
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 30.7% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 31.7% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting One Knoxville's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forward Madison, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for One Knoxville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Forward Madison - One Knoxville Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.56)
    3.1
    (3.01)
    2.34
    (2.77)
    9.3%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • One Knoxville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, One Knoxville has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - One Knoxville were as follows:
    28.06.2025 Forward Madison - One Knoxville 1:0
    09.05.2025 One Knoxville - Forward Madison 1:1
    19.10.2024 Forward Madison - One Knoxville 0:0
    01.10.2024 One Knoxville - Forward Madison 1:1
    29.06.2024 One Knoxville - Forward Madison 2:0
    Latest results of One Knoxville
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves19107231:191237
    2Spokane Velocity18105326:161035
    3FC Naples2096528:23533
    4One Knoxville1787225:16931
    5Charlotte Independ2087535:30531
    6AV Alta1977528:24428
    7Greenville2066829:30-124
    8Texoma1956824:32-821
    9Portland Hearts of Pine1749418:17121
    10Tormenta20551029:38-920
    11Forward Madison19310617:21-419
    12Union Omaha18531022:30-818
    13Richmond Kickers19451027:33-617
    14Westchester SC1937929:39-1016

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

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