New York City II vs Toronto FC II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro New York City II - Toronto FC II
Result
1:0
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
New York City II - Toronto FC II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.91
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (384/437)88% (419/477)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.870.87
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
610
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
126
Passes
88% (384/437)88% (419/477)
Long passes
68% (30/44)52% (16/31)
Passes in final third
76% (84/110)82% (152/186)
Crosses
10% (1/10)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.68
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
612
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4933
Clearances
3421
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.871.87
Goals prevented
0.870.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Ythallo 🟨,
  • 32', Elias P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sharp C. , Nolan J. ,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Guarino E. , Elias P. (A),
  • 66', Arroyave J. , Lacher J. ,
  • 66', Henry M. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 66', Ythallo , Fortier T. ,
  • 68', Chisholm M. 🟨,
  • 72', Sullivan M. 🟨,
  • 73', Iliadis C. 🟨,
  • 74', Zeitz U. , Sunjic L. ,
  • 81', Bossenberry A. , Edwards N. ,
  • 85', Elias P. , Infuso P. ,
  • 87', Guarino E. , Duque D. ,

Chances of winning


New York City II
52.7%
Draw
26%
Toronto FC II
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 24.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 24.2% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New York City II - Toronto FC II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.88)
    3.53
    (3.74)
    4.29
    (3.41)
    9.1%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Toronto II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, New York City II is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New York City II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City II - Toronto FC II were as follows:
    15.05.2025 New York City II - Toronto FC II 3:0
    15.09.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 3:0
    11.09.2024 New York City II - Toronto FC II 1:2
    12.06.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 1:3
    15.09.2023 New York City II - Toronto FC II 4:3
    Latest results of New York City II
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2171022341:3036
    2Philadelphia Union II15752136:1433
    3Chicago Fire II16722531:2827
    4New England Revolution II15641425:2127
    5New York City II17623631:3325
    6Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    7Toronto FC II17604718:2622
    8Columbus Crew 215312916:2913


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga17823427:2431
    2Orlando City B17721726:3026
    3Huntsville15632429:1826
    4Crown Legacy17435527:3023
    5Carolina Core17334721:2419
    6Atlanta United 215325522:2518
    7Inter Miami II175021028:3917


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County17912531:2531
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 217631735:3125
    3Town FC14622431:1924
    4Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    5Real Monarchs14523426:2422
    6Los Angeles FC II16611824:3121
    7Portland Timbers 216512826:3219


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Colorado Rapids 218813628:2629
    3North Texas17721728:3426
    4Houston Dynamo 217631725:2325
    5Austin FC II16533519:2024
    6Minnesota 215702625:2123
    7Sporting Kansas City II150131110:365


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2171022341:3036
    2Philadelphia Union II15752136:1433
    3Chattanooga17823427:2431
    4Chicago Fire II16722531:2827
    5New England Revolution II15641425:2127
    6Orlando City B17721726:3026
    7Huntsville15632429:1826
    8New York City II17623631:3325
    9Crown Legacy17435527:3023
    10Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    11Toronto FC II17604718:2622
    12Carolina Core17334721:2419
    13Atlanta United 215325522:2518
    14Inter Miami II175021028:3917
    15Columbus Crew 215312916:2913


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Ventura County17912531:2531
    3Colorado Rapids 218813628:2629
    4North Texas17721728:3426
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 217631735:3125
    6Houston Dynamo 217631725:2325
    7Town FC14622431:1924
    8Austin FC II16533519:2024
    9Minnesota 215702625:2123
    10Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    11Real Monarchs14523426:2422
    12Los Angeles FC II16611824:3121
    13Portland Timbers 216512826:3219
    14Sporting Kansas City II150131110:365

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