Result
2:2
27/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Libertad Asuncion - Alianza Lima live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (419/518) | 71% (225/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (419/518) | 71% (225/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/61) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (83/140) | 60% (45/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 0 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
- 40', Jacquet M. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 2, Castillo E. ⚽, Cari P. (A),
- 45+3', Garces R. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 2, Cardozo O. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Caballero H. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 62', Cari P. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 2, Ramirez I. ⚽,
- 68', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
- 68', Trauco M. ↓, Lagos R. ↑,
- 77', Quevedo K. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 81', Lagos R. 🟨,
- 82', Cardozo O. 🟨,
- 83', Alcaraz A. ↓, Villalba R. ↑,
- 89', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
- 89', Fernandez M. ↓, Villalba P. ↑,
- 89', Aguilar G. ↓, Santa C. R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
38% | Draw
31.2% | Alianza Lima
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Lima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Libertad Asuncion - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(1.76) |
3.07 ↓
(3.45) |
3.12 ↓
(4.75) |
5.2%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Libertad is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Libertad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Libertad is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J.
(Injury)
Cantero A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ceppelini P.
(Suspended)
Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Tendon Injury)
Zambrano C.
(Red Card)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Alianza Lima?
Libertad Asuncion has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Libertad Asuncion?
Alianza Lima has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Alianza Lima were as follows:
01.04.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:1
23.05.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:2
20.04.2023
Libertad Asuncion
-
Alianza Lima
1:2
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
Which TV channels are streaming of Libertad Asuncion - Alianza Lima?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital+ |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
