Result
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Braga
63.4% | Draw
21.9% | Nacional
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Braga - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.35) |
4.32 ↓
(4.93) |
6.29 ↓
(8.42) |
6.2%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 4.
- Recent performances by Braga have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nacional is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Braga is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:19. (average 2.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 28:11. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Nacional?
Braga has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Braga?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Nacional were as follows:
21.02.2025
Braga
-
Nacional
1:0
20.09.2024
Nacional
-
Braga
0:3
22.12.2023
Nacional
-
Braga
1:3
12.04.2023
Nacional
-
Braga
0:5
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:1 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 15 |
| 3 | Benfica | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Braga | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Santa Clara | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Arouca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Estoril | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Estrela | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Tondela | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
| 18 | AFS | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Braga - Nacional?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
