Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
- Referee: Kontinen J. (Fin)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (433/509) | 75% (235/312) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (433/509) | 75% (235/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 25% (13/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (93/135) | 63% (60/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (3/33) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Lehtonen J. 🟨,
- 19', Linner A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 1, Rangel (Pen),
- 54', Jokelainen N. 🟨,
- 59', Tanaka A. 🟨,
- 60', Jatta M. ↓, Ojala M. ↑,
- 60', Korkko J. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
- 64', Rangel ↓, Tarvonen A. ↑,
- 72', Tanaka A. ↓, Tahmbi N. ↑,
- 72', Sumusalo M. ↓, Lehtiranta J. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 2, Makela J. ⚽, Toivonen A. (A),
- 78', Kaukua T. ↓, Ghezali L. ↑,
- 82', Say S. 🟨,
- 86', Forsell P. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 90+1', Tahmbi N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oulu
44.8% | Draw
25% | KTP Kotka
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oulu's form might have worsened.KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oulu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-5%)
Oulu - KTP Kotka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.89) |
3.83 ↓
(4.03) |
3.13 ↓
(3.68) |
5.3%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Oulu - KTP Kotka?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 5.
- Recent performances by Oulu have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- KTP has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Oulu has had a series of away games.
- Oulu might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in KTP: Aspegren F.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:14. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against KTP Kotka?
Oulu has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against Oulu?
KTP Kotka has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - KTP Kotka were as follows:
13.07.2025
Oulu
-
KTP Kotka
3:2
02.05.2025
KTP Kotka
-
Oulu
1:3
29.09.2023
Oulu
-
KTP Kotka
2:0
22.07.2023
Oulu
-
KTP Kotka
3:1
05.07.2023
KTP Kotka
-
Oulu
1:2
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 51:29 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 57:35 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 49:25 | 24 | 50 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 54:39 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | HJK | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 66:37 | 29 | 47 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 39:50 | -11 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Oulu - KTP Kotka?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
