Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata
Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 12
Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.55
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
86% (566/661)77% (361/466)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.721.00
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1916
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
46
Passes
86% (566/661)77% (361/466)
Long passes
45% (20/44)35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
75% (167/222)72% (70/97)
Crosses
24% (4/17)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.61
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
64
Tackles
57% (4/7)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3435
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.000.72
Goals prevented
0.00-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Naruse S. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Komi Y. (Pen),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Watai M. , Yamada Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 71', Okumura J. , Kasai K. ,
  • 72', Takagi Y. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 74', Yamada Y. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 87', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,
  • 87', Watai M. , Nakama H. ,
  • 87', Kubo T. , Nakajima S. ,
  • 90+1', Hasegawa M. , Miguel ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kashiwa Reysol
42.4%
Draw
29.9%
Albirex Niigata
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.7% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 29.4% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Albirex Niigata aligns with the current prediction.
  • Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.23)
    3.14
    (3.18)
    3.42
    (3.37)
    6.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 1.
    • Kashiwa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Niigata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Kashiwa have a series of guest games.
    • Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harada W. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 6 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 1:1
    30.03.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    24.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 0:0
    07.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0
    19.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 3:2
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
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