Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare
Result
4:0
03/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 14
Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.60
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
77% (255/333)86% (553/641)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.60
xG on target (xGOT)
3.180.98
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
77% (255/333)86% (553/641)
Long passes
49% (26/53)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
66% (52/79)75% (138/184)
Crosses
25% (3/12)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.411.23
Throw-ins
1222
Fouls
1110
Tackles
62% (8/13)100% (9/9)
Duels won
3841
Clearances
4112
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.983.18
Goals prevented
0.98-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Hummet D. , Juan Alano (A),
  • 13', 2 - 0, Kishimoto T. ,
  • 29', 3 - 0, Kishimoto T. , Juan Alano (A),
  • 35', 4 - 0, Nakatani S. , Handa R. (A),
  • 40', Ono K. , Fujii T. ,
  • 40', Oiwa K. 🟨,
  • 43', Onose K. , Hiraoka T. ,
  • 45+1', Usami T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mitsuta M. , Kurata S. ,
  • 46', Suzuki Y. , Kim Min-Tae ,
  • 50', Nakatani S. 🟨,
  • 60', Juan Alano , Meshino R. ,
  • 60', Usami T. , Minamino H. ,
  • 69', Ikeda M. , Luiz Phellype ,
  • 69', Okuno K. , Barada A. ,
  • 72', Hummet D. , Jebali I. ,
  • 82', Handa R. , Nakano S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
43%
Draw
29.3%
Shonan Bellmare
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 28.9% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 28.7% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.18)
    3.21
    (3.26)
    3.41
    (3.4)
    6.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
    • Gamba Osaka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Gamba Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Inactive) Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    21.08.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 3:2
    20.07.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 0:1
    01.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    19.08.2023 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 2:1
    01.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 4:1
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    29.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 2:1
    25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    20.04.2025 Yokohama FC - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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