Legia Warsaw vs GKS Katowice: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice
Result
3:1
10/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 4
  • Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.57
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
78% (371/473)71% (237/336)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.570.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.890.91
Total shots
207
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
4019
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
78% (371/473)71% (237/336)
Long passes
39% (24/62)39% (27/69)
Passes in final third
70% (129/184)49% (44/90)
Crosses
28% (7/25)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.48
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1113
Tackles
71% (5/7)47% (9/19)
Duels won
5155
Clearances
3340
Interceptions
1216
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
0.911.89
Goals prevented
-0.09-1.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Wszolek P. , Jedrzejczyk A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 48', Wszolek P. 🟨,
  • 58', Alfarela M. , Morishita R. ,
  • 62', Rosolek M. , Zrelak A. ,
  • 69', Bichakhchyan V. , Stojanovic P. ,
  • 69', Goncalves C. , Reca A. ,
  • 83', Blad A. , Wedrychowski M. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Nowak B. , Wasielewski M. (A),
  • 85', Nsame J. , Shkurin I. ,
  • 85', Vinagre R. , Urbanski W. ,
  • 88', Urbanski W. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Kudla D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Jedrzejczyk A. , Wszolek P. (A),
  • 90+7', 3 - 1, Morishita R. , Stojanovic P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
66.2%
Draw
19.3%
GKS Katowice
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.1% 22.5% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 21.3% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.
  • GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.54)
    4.83
    (4.1)
    6.5
    (5.32)
    6.2%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 58.6%97%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Legia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • GKS Katowice has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, GKS Katowice has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Legia is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in GKS Katowice: Milewski S. (Inactive) Rogala G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Elitim J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice were as follows:
    26.04.2025 GKS Katowice - Legia Warsaw 1:3
    27.10.2024 Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice 4:1
    24.03.2023 Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice 3:0
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of GKS Katowice
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock43107:2510
    2Legia32105:147
    3Radomiak Radom42119:637
    4Widzew Lodz42117:437
    5Termalica B-B42116:337
    6Cracovia421110:827
    7Jagiellonia32018:806
    8Gornik Zabrze42024:406
    9Lech Poznan32017:8-16
    10Arka Gdynia41213:305
    11Korona Kielce41124:5-14
    12Pogon Szczecin41127:9-24
    13Motor Lublin31115:7-24
    14Rakow31023:5-23
    15Zaglebie30213:4-12
    16GKS Katowice40133:9-61
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk40229:11-2-3

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
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