Shimizu S-Pulse vs Urawa Red Diamonds: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka).

: J1 League - Round 31

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	3.92
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
9	23
Shots on target
2	9
Big Chances
1	7
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
84% (367/437)	88% (508/577)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	3.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.40	3.83
Total shots
9	23
Shots on target
2	9
Shots off target
4	11
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
5	15
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	7
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
23	34
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
6	10
Passes
84% (367/437)	88% (508/577)
Long passes
44% (17/39)	49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
73% (84/115)	78% (131/168)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	46% (11/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.03	2.26
Throw-ins
14	18
Fouls
10	6
Tackles
40% (4/10)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
29	44
Clearances
22	11
Interceptions
4	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
9	2
xGOT faced
3.83	0.40
Goals prevented
3.83	0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Miyamoto K. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
46', Kitazume K. ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
56', Kozuka K. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
56', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
63', Yasui K. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
63', Sekine T. ↓, Kaneko T. ↑,
73', Watanabe R. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
73', Matheus Savio ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
83', Gustafson S. ↓, Hayakawa J. ↑,
85', Kitagawa K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
90+1', Nakahara H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shimizu S-Pulse
30.5%

Draw
28%

Urawa Red Diamonds
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26.1%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.6%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.73)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	2.31 ↓ (2.39)	5.4% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Urawa will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 21.5% – 71.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 0.
In recent matches, Shimizu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Urawa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 0.9:2.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:

02.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1

18.06.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1

26.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:1

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

20.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Honda FC 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

20.09.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺

03.09.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Shimizu S-Pulse - Urawa Red Diamonds?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan