Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : NPL Victoria - Round 26
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 0 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Ott G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 71', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Avondale 65% | Draw 20.2% | Green Gully 14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avondale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Green Gully has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (+4.3%)The ML Model estimate for Green Gully aligns with the current prediction.
Avondale - Green Gully Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 ↑ (1.39) |
4.57 ↓ (4.85) |
6.23 ↑ (5.78) |
8.3% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
- Avondale is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avondale won 3.
- Avondale has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Green Gully has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Avondale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Green Gully has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Avondale is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Avondale will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avondale won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 37:37. (average 1.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avondale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Avondale won against Green Gully?
Avondale has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Green Gully won against Avondale?
Green Gully has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avondale - Green Gully were as follows:
09.05.2025
Green Gully
-
Avondale
5:2
26.07.2024
Green Gully
-
Avondale
1:6
27.04.2024
Avondale
-
Green Gully
0:1
23.06.2023
Green Gully
-
Avondale
0:4
25.03.2023
Avondale
-
Green Gully
3:2
Latest results of Avondale
Latest results of Green Gully
Australian NPL Victoria Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Avondale FC ✔ | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 66:27 | 39 | 61 |
2 | Heidelberg Utd ✔ | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:25 | 30 | 57 |
3 | Dandenong Thunder ✔ | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 60:32 | 28 | 53 |
4 | Oakleigh Cannons ✔ | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 49 |
5 | Preston Lions ✔ | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:28 | 12 | 47 |
6 | Dandenong City | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 51:38 | 13 | 40 |
7 | Hume City | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 42:40 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Green Gully | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 39:42 | -3 | 31 |
9 | South Melbourne | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:46 | -17 | 28 |
10 | Altona Magic | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 28:38 | -10 | 27 |
11 | St Albans | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 45:56 | -11 | 27 |
12 | Melbourne Victory U21 ✔ | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 36:60 | -24 | 18 |
13 | Port Melbourne Sharks ✔ | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:64 | -40 | 17 |
14 | Melbourne Knights ✔ | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 28:72 | -44 | 15 |
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Avondale FC is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Heidelberg Utd is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Dandenong Thunder is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Oakleigh Cannons is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Preston Lions is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Melbourne Victory U21 is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
Port Melbourne Sharks is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Knights is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
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