Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

: J1 League - Round 28

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.82
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
14	17
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	9
Passes
89% (400/449)	87% (393/452)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	1.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.12	0.79
Total shots
14	17
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
4	10
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
8	10
Shots outside the Box
6	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	9
Touches in opposition box
24	27
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
10	9
Passes
89% (400/449)	87% (393/452)
Long passes
61% (31/51)	47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
85% (119/140)	81% (120/149)
Crosses
42% (5/12)	29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	1.46
Throw-ins
19	18
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
58% (7/12)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
49	34
Clearances
20	19
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.79	1.12
Goals prevented
0.79	0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
42', Matheus Savio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Gustafson S. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
59', Nakajima S. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
64', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
76', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
76', Ohara M. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
76', Uemura H. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
81', Yasui K. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
81', Ogiwara T. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,
86', Hasegawa M. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
88', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
90+5', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
54.2%

Draw
24.7%

Albirex Niigata
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.4%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)	3.81 ↑ (3.58)	4.48 ↓ (4.61)	6.1% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata?

Users Predictions: Urawa Red Diamonds will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.32% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 2.
Urawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Niigata is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Urawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Urawa has had a series of away games.
In this match, Urawa is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:17. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Albirex Niigata?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata were as follows:

11.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1

08.12.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 0:0

11.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:4

02.09.2023 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1

18.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata 2:1

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

27.08.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds 4:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Yokohama FC - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

23.08.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kashima Antlers 1:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺

11.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺

20.07.2025 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Urawa Red Diamonds - Albirex Niigata?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan