Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Result
0:2
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 24
Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.422.17
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
82% (416/509)80% (333/414)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.422.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.071.33
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2534
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
82% (416/509)80% (333/414)
Long passes
39% (19/49)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
65% (70/107)71% (133/188)
Crosses
64% (9/14)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.441.84
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1013
Tackles
45% (5/11)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
3021
Interceptions
715
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.330.07
Goals prevented
-0.670.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Higashi S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 2, Kinoshita K. ,
  • 59', Arai T. , Hoshi Y. ,
  • 59', Kasai K. , Shimamura T. ,
  • 69', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 71', Tanaka S. , Nakajima Y. ,
  • 71', Kinoshita K. , Kato M. ,
  • 72', Ono Y. , Hashimoto K. ,
  • 72', Horigome Y. , Funaki K. ,
  • 78', Araki H. , Arai N. ,
  • 82', Chiba K. 🟨,
  • 84', Okumura J. , Yamura K. ,
  • 90+2', Germain R. , Germain V. ,
  • 90+2', Higashi S. , Maeda N. ,
  • 90+7', Hashimoto K. , Takagi Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
19.5%
Draw
24.7%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 25.6% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6% 25.4% 53.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.79
    (4.55)
    3.81
    (3.7)
    1.72
    (1.77)
    5.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
    • Niigata is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hiroshima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    26.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 1:1
    03.05.2024 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    01.07.2023 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:0
    26.02.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Albirex Niigata 1:2
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers25152837:241347
    2Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    3Vissel Kobe25144734:241046
    4Kyoto25136642:301245
    5Machida25134836:251143
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima25134829:181143
    7Urawa Reds25118634:25941
    8Kawasaki Frontale25108740:31938
    9Cerezo Osaka25107840:34637
    10Avispa Fukuoka2598826:25135
    11Gamba Osaka251041129:34-534
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse25871029:32-331
    14Verdy25871016:24-831
    15FC Tokyo25851227:35-829
    16Nagoya Grampus25771129:35-628
    17Shonan Bellmare25661320:39-1924
    18Yokohama F. Marinos25561423:33-1021
    19Yokohama FC25541615:32-1719
    20Albirex Niigata25471425:44-1919

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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