Result
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Fortaleza
37.2% | Draw
30.2% | Bahia
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Fortaleza - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.5) |
3.12 ↑
(3.1) |
2.9 ↑
(2.88) |
5.3%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
- Fortaleza is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bahia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Bahia will win today's game, with odds of 2.95.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Bahia?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Fortaleza?
Bahia has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Bahia were as follows:
09.07.2025
Bahia
-
Fortaleza
2:1
21.09.2024
Fortaleza
-
Bahia
4:1
13.06.2024
Bahia
-
Fortaleza
1:0
21.10.2023
Bahia
-
Fortaleza
2:0
03.06.2023
Fortaleza
-
Bahia
0:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:4 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21:9 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 26 |
| 4 | Bahia | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 24 |
| 5 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 22 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Ceara | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 18 |
| 10 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Santos | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 8 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Fortaleza - Bahia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
