Sweden W vs Germany W, UEFA Euro Women: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Euro Women
Soccer UEFA Euro Women Sweden W - Germany W
Result
4:1
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Euro Women - Round 3
  • Referee: Gasperotti S. (Ita)
Sweden W - Germany W - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.170.97
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
82% (293/356)79% (301/383)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.170.97
xG on target (xGOT)
2.792.00
Total shots
139
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3022
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
82% (293/356)79% (301/383)
Long passes
64% (23/36)53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
69% (78/113)51% (43/85)
Crosses
32% (6/19)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.71
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1210
Tackles
60% (9/15)71% (20/28)
Duels won
4355
Clearances
2418
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.002.79
Goals prevented
0.49-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Brand J. ⚽, Wamser C. (A),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Blackstenius S. ⚽, Asllani K. (A),
  • 21', Nusken S. 🟨,
  • 25', 2 - 1, Holmberg S. ⚽,
  • 31', Wamser C. 🟥,
  • 34', 3 - 1, Rolfo F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bjorn N. ↓, Sembrant L. ↑,
  • 46', Knaak R. ↓, Hendrich K. ↑,
  • 46', Freigang L. ↓, Lohmann S. ↑,
  • 46', Rolfo F. ↓, Janogy M. ↑,
  • 56', Linder S. 🟨,
  • 56', Asllani K. ↓, Hurtig L. ↑,
  • 64', Schuller L. ↓, Hoffmann G. ↑,
  • 71', Blackstenius S. ↓, Wangerheim E. ↑,
  • 78', Nusken S. ↓, Cerci S. ↑,
  • 80', 4 - 1, Hurtig L. ⚽, Kaneryd J. (A),
  • 82', Angeldal F. ↓, Zigiotti Olme J. ↑,
  • 85', Senss E. ↓, Dabritz S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Sweden W
31.9%		Draw
26.4%		Germany W
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 27.3% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sweden W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Germany W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
    •

    Sweden W - Germany W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.96 ↓
    (3)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.47)    		 2.26 ↓
    (2.3)    		 6.2%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Sweden W - Germany W?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Sweden will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%). Germany will win (votes: 23 - 69.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Germany: 54% – 85.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Germany W will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Sweden is Qualified for Euro Women (Play Offs )
    • Germany is Qualified for Euro Women (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 1.
    • Sweden has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Germany is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sweden W - Germany W were as follows:
    21.02.2023 Germany W - Sweden W 0:0
    Latest results of Sweden W
    08.07.2025 Poland W - Sweden W 0:3 ✺
    04.07.2025 Denmark W - Sweden W 0:1 ✺
    26.06.2025 Norway W - Sweden W 0:2 ✺
    03.06.2025 Sweden W - Denmark W 6:1 ✺
    30.05.2025 Italy W - Sweden W 0:0
    Latest results of Germany W
    08.07.2025 Germany W - Denmark W 2:1 ✺
    04.07.2025 Germany W - Poland W 2:0 ✺
    03.06.2025 Austria W - Germany W 0:6 ✺
    30.05.2025 Germany W - Netherlands W 4:0 ✺
    08.04.2025 Germany W - Scotland W 6:1
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Sweden W (C1)England W (D2)2 : 3
    2Norway W (A1)Italy W (B2)1 : 2
    3France W (D1)Germany W (C2)1 : 2
    4Spain W (B1)Switzerland W (A2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1England W (D2)Italy W (B2)2 : 1
    2Germany W (C2)Spain W (B1)0 : 1

    Final
    1England W (D2)Spain W (B1)2 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sweden W - Germany W?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport, Stan Sport
    austriaAustriaORF On, ORF Sport+, Sky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumBNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaBHT 1
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
    bulgariaBulgariaBNT 1, BNT 3
    canadaCanadaTSN 3, TSN 4, TSN+
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
    croatiaCroatiaHRT 2, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusRIK 1
    czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
    denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
    estoniaEstoniaETV 2
    finlandFinlandYLE Areena, YLE TV2
    franceFranceFree, Molotov TV, TMC
    georgiaGeorgia1TV, 1TV Player
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW, ZDF
    greeceGreeceERT 2
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
    hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
    icelandIcelandRUV
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyRAI Sport, RAI Sport+
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoRTK 1
    latviaLatviaLTV 7
    lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT Plius
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    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 1, Sporza
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMRT 1, MRT Play
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    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaTVR+, TVR Sport
    serbiaSerbiaRTS 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
    sloveniaSloveniaSlovenia TV2
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
    south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
    spainSpainRTVE Play, Teledeporte
    swedenSwedenSVT Play, Viaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
    ukraineUkraineSuspilne Sport
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFOX Network, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, SiriusXM FC
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldSport 24
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