Result
2:1 ET
22/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Euro Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Martincic I. (Cro)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (482/578) | 76% (325/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 58 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (482/578) | 76% (325/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (51/77) | 53% (40/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (180/245) | 63% (63/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (16/51) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 43 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 73 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Bonansea B. ⚽, Cantore S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', James L. ↓, Mead B. ↑,
- 64', Girelli C. ↓, Piemonte M. ↑,
- 73', Cantore S. ↓, Cambiaghi M. ↑,
- 73', Bonansea B. ↓, Severini E. ↑,
- 74', Giuliani L. 🟨,
- 74', Soncin A. 🟨,
- 77', Stanway G. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
- 85', Williamson L. ↓, Agyemang M. ↑,
- 85', Russo A. ↓, Beever-Jones A. ↑,
- 88', Linari E. 🟨,
- 89', Giugliano M. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
- 89', Lenzini M. ↓, Piga J. ↑,
- 90+2', Morgan E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cambiaghi M. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Agyemang M. ⚽,
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 106', Walsh K. ↓, Clinton G. ↑,
- 119', Kelly C. (Pen),
- 119', 2 - 1, Kelly C. ⚽,
- 120+1', Greenwood A. ↓, Carter J. ↑,
- 120+4', Mead B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
England W
59% | Draw
24% | Italy W
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
England W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for England W than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for England W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy W than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
England W - Italy W Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.51) |
3.93 ↓
(4.47) |
5.62 ↓
(5.91) |
5.5%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for England W - Italy W?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. England will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Italy will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for England: 63.4% – 93.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. England (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, England is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that England will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, England won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has England W won against Italy W?
England W has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Italy W won against England W?
Italy W has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between England W - Italy W were as follows:
27.02.2024
Italy W
-
England W
1:5
19.02.2023
England W
-
Italy W
2:1
Latest results of England W
Latest results of Italy W
Draw
Final tournamentQuarter-finals| 1 | Sweden W (C1) | England W (D2) | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Norway W (A1) | Italy W (B2) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | France W (D1) | Germany W (C2) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Spain W (B1) | Switzerland W (A2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | England W (D2) | Italy W (B2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Germany W (C2) | Spain W (B1) | |
Final
Which TV channels are streaming of England W - Italy W?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
 Albania | RTSH Sport |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | 1TV |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Optus Sport, Stan Sport |
 Austria | ORF 1, ORF On, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | BHT 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | BNT 1, BNT 3 |
 Canada | RDS, TSN+ |
 Colombia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Croatia | HRT 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | RIK 1 |
 Czech-republic | CT sport |
 Denmark | TV3, Viaplay |
 Estonia | ETV 2 |
 Finland | Viaplay, YLE Areena, YLE TV2 |
 France | Free, Molotov TV, TF 1, TMC |
 Georgia | 1TV, 1TV Player |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
 Greece | ERT 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
 Iceland | RUV |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | RTE 2, RTE Player |
 Italy | RAI 2, RaiPlay |
 Kosovo | RTK 1 |
 Latvia | LTV 7 |
 Lithuania | LRT Plius |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Moldova | TVR Moldova |
 Montenegro | TVCG 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, NPO 1, Sporza |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 North-macedonia | MRT 1, MRT Play |
 Norway | TV2, TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | TVR+, TVR Sport |
 Serbia | RTS 2 |
 Slovakia | STVR Sport |
 Slovenia | Slovenia TV2 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | RTVE Play, Teledeporte |
 Sweden | Discovery+, SVT 1, SVT Play, Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1 |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine, Suspilne Sport |
 United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | FOX Network, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Sport 24 |
