Athletico Paranaense vs Operário Ferroviario: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario
Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 29
Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
73% (207/282)88% (432/493)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.29
Total shots
816
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
313
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
166
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
73% (207/282)88% (432/493)
Long passes
44% (23/52)55% (31/56)
Passes in final third
58% (54/93)68% (73/107)
Crosses
50% (2/4)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.30
Throw-ins
1623
Fouls
1211
Tackles
29% (4/14)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4037
Clearances
2326
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
0.291.02
Goals prevented
0.290.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Benavidez G. , Patrick (A),
  • 35', Boschilia 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodrigo Rodrigues , Kleiton ,
  • 54', Neto Paraiba , Pedro Vilhena ,
  • 60', Luiz Fernando , Julimar ,
  • 61', Leozinho , Dudu Kogitzki ,
  • 68', Benavidez G. 🟨,
  • 69', Diogo Mateus 🟨,
  • 70', Diogo Mateus , Thiaguinho ,
  • 74', Patrick 🟨,
  • 75', Leo Gaucho , Ademilson ,
  • 75', Indio , Daniel Amorim ,
  • 81', Arthur Dias , Mendoza S. ,
  • 90', Zapelli B. , Felipinho ,
  • 90', Patrick , Raul ,
  • 90+3', Felipinho 🟨,
  • 90+5', Giraldo J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
59.3%
Draw
26.3%
Operário Ferroviario
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 25.4% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 24.7% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.61)
    3.57
    (3.65)
    6.4
    (5.45)
    6.4%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Operário PR will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Operário PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Athletico PR has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Inactive) Joao Cruz (Inactive) Leo Derik (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Filipe Claudino (Injury) Matheus Souza (Inactive) Talles (Inactive) Thales Oleques (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Operário PR: Leo Cittadini (Injury) Marcos Paulo (Muscle Injury) Thiaguinho (Inactive)
    • We predict that Athletico PR will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Athletico Paranaense 2:2
    22.01.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario 1:1
    27.03.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario 1:0
    16.03.2024 Operário Ferroviario - Athletico Paranaense 1:2
    15.02.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario 0:0
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Goias31149835:28751
    3Criciuma31148940:281250
    4Athletico-PR301461043:39448
    5Chapecoense-SC301451142:301247
    6Novorizontino301211732:27547
    7CRB311441336:31546
    8Cuiaba301210837:34346
    9Atletico GO301112734:28645
    10Remo301112734:28645
    11Avai3010101036:33340
    12Operario-PR301091131:29239
    13Vila Nova FC301091130:32-239
    14America MG301061432:36-436
    15Ferroviaria308121034:39-536
    16Athletic Club30961532:42-1033
    17Botafogo SP31881526:46-2032
    18Volta Redonda307101319:31-1231
    19Amazonas317101433:47-1431
    20Paysandu PA315111526:37-1126

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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