Deportes Magallanes vs Universidad de Chile: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Cup Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Chile
Result
1:3
05/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Chile - Round 5
Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Chile - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Alfaro J. , Contreras R. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Osorio M. , Munoz C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Diaz A. , Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ,
  • 55', Tapia I. , Tamayo B. ,
  • 55', Alfaro J. , Guerrero Pena M. G. ,
  • 55', Assadi L. , Moya F. ,
  • 67', Toledo A. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Moya F. ,
  • 71', Valdez B. , Figueroa D. ,
  • 80', Alucema G. , Morales Olivares M. G. ,
  • 80', Valenzuela C. , Espinola M. ,
  • 80', Munoz C. , Barria A. ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Castro J. ,
  • 90', Arce A. , Vera R. ,

Chances of winning


Deportes Magallanes
42.8%
Draw
27.9%
Universidad de Chile
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 23.5% 58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8% 22.5% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Magallanes's performance.
  • Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Chile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-25%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Magallanes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+31.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Chile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Chile Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (5)
    3.36
    (3.95)
    3.17
    (1.6)
    6.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Chile?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Magallanes will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Magallanes: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportes Magallanes will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Universidad de Chile could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Magallanes will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Magallanes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Magallanes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Universidad de Chile - Deportes Magallanes 0:1
    30.07.2023 Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Chile 2:1
    11.02.2023 Universidad de Chile - Deportes Magallanes 2:1
    Latest results of Universidad de Chile
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1AntofagastaS. Wanderers2 : 3, 0 : 3
    2La SerenaSan Luis4 : 1, 1 : 3
    3LimacheCobreloa3 : 0, 3 : 1
    4Union La CaleraCoquimbo1 : 4, 1 : 2
    5U. De ChileCurico Unido2 : 2, 1 : 2
    6A. ItalianoDeportes Temuco2 : 0, 2 : 1
    7NublenseMagallanes2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8HuachipatoD. Concepcion1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1S. WanderersLa Serena
    2LimacheCoquimbo
    3Curico UnidoA. Italiano
    4NublenseTBD #8
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