Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga MX Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Rosario I. (Mex)
Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.43
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
77% (237/309)88% (517/590)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.12
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2123
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
815
Passes
77% (237/309)88% (517/590)
Long passes
40% (22/55)51% (30/59)
Passes in final third
64% (67/104)73% (90/124)
Crosses
21% (3/14)10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.86
Throw-ins
1623
Fouls
158
Tackles
67% (10/15)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5055
Clearances
2928
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.120.57
Goals prevented
0.12-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Farfan M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Brunetta J. , Correa A. (A),
  • 57', Piovi G. 🟨,
  • 67', Faravelli L. , Rivero I. ,
  • 74', Herrera O. , Antuna U. ,
  • 75', Paradela J. , Bogusz M. ,
  • 75', Romero L. , Marquez J. ,
  • 75', Angulo J. , Sanchez J. ,
  • 82', Sanchez J. , Sepulveda A. ,
  • 82', Rotondi C. , Campos O. ,
  • 83', Brunetta J. , Vigon J. ,
  • 90+6', Guzman N. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Joaquim 🟨,
  • 90+8', 1 - 1, Sepulveda A. (Pen),
  • 90+11', Aquino J. 🟨,
  • 90+12', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tigres UANL
45%
Draw
26.4%
Cruz Azul
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 26.1% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.7% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tigres UANL's performance.
  • Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruz Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigres UANL that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruz Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.35)
    3.55
    (3.55)
    3.26
    (2.7)
    6.4%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cruz Azul will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Cruz Azul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tigres could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Tigres: Sanchez Guevara D. A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cruz Azul: Levy M. (International duty) Montano A. (Knee Injury) Morales A. (Inactive) Ochoa E. (Inactive) Rodarte J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Tigres: Romulo (Ankle Injury) Tapia F. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL 1:0
    23.04.2025 Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul 1:1
    15.02.2025 Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul 2:1
    09.11.2024 Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL 1:1
    17.02.2024 Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL 1:0
    Latest results of Tigres UANL
    28.09.2025 Querétaro - Tigres UANL 0:2
    24.09.2025 Tigres UANL - Atlas 2:0
    20.09.2025 UNAM - Tigres UANL 1:1
    13.09.2025 Tigres UANL - Club León 0:0
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    28.09.2025 Tijuana - Cruz Azul 2:0
    24.09.2025 Cruz Azul - Querétaro 2:2
    19.09.2025 Cruz Azul - Juárez 3:2
    13.09.2025 Pachuca - Cruz Azul 0:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1291235:161928
    2Club America1283126:111527
    3Monterrey1282225:19626
    4Cruz Azul1274122:15725
    5Tigres UANL1265122:101223
    6Club Tijuana1255223:131020
    7Pachuca1262416:13320
    8Juarez1253416:15118
    9Guadalajara Chivas1252518:18017
    10UNAM Pumas1234515:19-413
    11Atlas1234521:27-613
    12Club Leon1233612:22-1012
    13Mazatlan FC1225515:21-611
    14Queretaro1232714:21-711
    15Atl. San Luis1231817:20-310
    16Santos Laguna1231813:21-810
    17Necaxa1223711:21-109
    18Puebla1212910:29-195

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Tubi TV
    usaUsaEstrella TV, NBC Universo, Telemundo
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