Sofapaka vs Tusker: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

.

: Premier League - Round 32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ondimo E. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Messi W. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Onganya J. ⚽,
45+1', 4 - 0, Onganya J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 5 - 0, Kipkemoi R. ⚽,
64', 5 - 1, ⚽,
83', 6 - 1, Ondimo E. ⚽,
87', 7 - 1, Onganya J. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Sofapaka
24.7%

Draw
31.4%

Tusker
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

28.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

28.4%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tusker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tusker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sofapaka - Tusker Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (4.13)	2.91 ↓ (3.15)	2.09 ↑ (1.84)	9.2% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Tusker is considered a favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.2:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Tusker?

Sofapaka has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Sofapaka?

Tusker has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Tusker were as follows:

24.08.2024 Tusker - Sofapaka 1:0

14.01.2024 Tusker - Sofapaka 3:1

28.10.2023 Sofapaka - Tusker 0:1

09.04.2023 Tusker - Sofapaka 2:0

22.01.2023 Sofapaka - Tusker 0:1

Latest results of Sofapaka

14.05.2025 Muranga Seal - Sofapaka 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks 0:0 ✺

02.05.2025 Sofapaka - Mathare United 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Kakamega Homeboyz - Sofapaka 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Sofapaka - Gor Mahia 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Tusker

14.05.2025 Talanta - Tusker 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Tusker - Muranga Seal 2:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Tusker - AFC Leopards 0:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Mathare United - Tusker 2:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Tusker - Nairobi City Stars 1:0 ✺

Kenyan Premier League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Police FC	33	18	10	5	37:16	21	64
2	Gor Mahia	33	16	10	7	46:23	23	58
3	Kakamega Homeboyz	33	15	12	6	39:27	12	57
4	Tusker	33	15	11	7	41:36	5	56
5	Shabana	33	14	10	9	40:28	12	52
6	Leopards	33	12	14	7	41:28	13	50
7	Sofapaka	33	11	13	9	36:26	10	46
8	Bandari	33	10	13	10	25:29	-4	43
9	KCB	33	10	11	12	36:35	1	41
10	Mathare Utd	33	10	11	12	26:40	-14	41
11	Kariobangi Sharks	33	7	16	10	25:28	-3	37
12	Ulinzi Stars	33	8	13	12	28:32	-4	37
13	Mara Sugar	33	8	12	13	33:37	-4	36
14	Talanta FC	33	9	8	16	33:45	-12	35
15	Posta Rangers	33	8	10	15	35:48	-13	34
16	Nairobi City	33	8	10	15	26:41	-15	34
17	Muranga	33	8	10	15	24:40	-16	34
18	Bidco United	33	6	14	13	19:31	-12	32

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
      Premier League (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Super League

Which TV channels are streaming of Sofapaka - Tusker?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: