Jagiellonia Białystok vs Piast Gliwice: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/04/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chorten Arena (Bialystok).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 27
Referee: Araki Y. (Jpn)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.62	0.92
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
82% (414/503)	76% (301/395)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.27	1.59
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
6	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
40	17
Offsides
2	5
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
82% (414/503)	76% (301/395)
Long passes
57% (25/44)	43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
69% (108/156)	68% (77/113)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.48	0.60
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
50% (7/14)	62% (13/21)
Duels won
48	41
Clearances Total
17	36
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.59	1.27
Goals prevented
0.59	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Wojtuszek N. ⚽, Imaz J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Jirka E. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
54', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Pululu A. ↑,
54', Semedo E. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Gale T. ⚽,
64', Chrapek M. ↓, Tomasiewicz G. ↑,
67', Kubicki J. ↓, Flach L. ↑,
86', Miguelito 🟨,
90', Szczepanski M. ↓, Mokwa T. ↑,
90+1', Drapinski I. 🟨,
90+3', Churlinov D. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
90+3', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Jagiellonia Białystok
44.6%

Draw
29.3%

Piast Gliwice
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26.7%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.01)	3.21 ↓ (3.43)	3.56 ↓ (3.68)	6.9% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Piast (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Jagiellonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Jagiellonia will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Jagiellonia: Dieguez A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Piast: Katsantonis A. (Injury) Pyrka A. (Coach's decision) Zedadka A. (Yellow Cards)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:22 (average 1:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Jagiellonia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Piast Gliwice?

Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Jagiellonia Białystok?

Piast Gliwice has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice were as follows:

29.09.2024 Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:1

18.05.2024 Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1

24.11.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice 0:0

29.01.2023 Piast Gliwice - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1

Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok

02.04.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Kraków 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:0 ✺

13.03.2025 Cercle Brugge - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:1 ✺

06.03.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Cercle Brugge 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Piast Gliwice

28.03.2025 Piast Gliwice - Widzew Łódź 0:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Piast Gliwice - Stal Rzeszów 3:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Piast Gliwice 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa 0:3 ✺

01.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice 0:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Jagiellonia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Zaglebie	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Cracovia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Termalica B-B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rakow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Jagiellonia Białystok - Piast Gliwice?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball