Result
3:0
22/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Santa Catarina - Round 3
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
Chances of winning
Náutico Marcílio Dias
67.9% | Draw
18.9% | Avaí
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-5%)The ML Model estimate for Avaí aligns with the current prediction.
Náutico Marcílio Dias - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34
(1.34) |
4.79 ↑
(4.75) |
6.89 ↓
(7.6) |
10.3%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Marcílio Dias is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Avaí?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Avaí has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náutico Marcílio Dias - Avaí were as follows:
09.02.2025
Avaí
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
3:0
03.02.2024
Avaí
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:2
26.09.2023
Avaí
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
4:3
21.01.2023
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Avaí
1:2
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Figueirense | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | Avai | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 | Barra FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Concordia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Brusque | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Blumenau | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Joinville | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Carlos Renaux | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Nacao | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Caravaggio | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Camboriu | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 4 | Tubarao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
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