Ñublense vs Deportes Magallanes: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Cup Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes
Result
2:0
01/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Chile - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.38
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
85% (454/535)72% (211/292)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.350.36
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (454/535)72% (211/292)
Long passes
54% (28/52)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
73% (104/143)57% (45/79)
Crosses
19% (4/21)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.29
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
1110
Tackles
80% (16/20)81% (22/27)
Duels won
5562
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.361.35
Goals prevented
0.36-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Morales Olivares M. G. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Sosa G. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Calderon P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Bosso Torres O. 🟨,
  • 64', Caca , Graciani G. ,
  • 65', Valenzuela C. , Neira E. ,
  • 65', Abarca Antil F. A. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Sosa G. , Rodriguez M. (A),
  • 74', Calderon P. , Labrin C. ,
  • 77', Cezar F. , Lezcano G. ,
  • 77', Morales Olivares M. G. , Espinola M. ,
  • 83', Plaza M. , Valencia E. ,
  • 83', Sosa G. , Sanchez P. ,
  • 83', Mateos F. , Saavedra D. ,
  • 87', Gonzalez M. , Romero M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ñublense
61.2%
Draw
22.4%
Deportes Magallanes
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 25.3% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 24.2% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.
  • Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.67)
    4.1
    (3.67)
    5.6
    (4.91)
    7.1%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Magallanes will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ñublense: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Ñublense is the team to beat.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Deportes Magallanes - Ñublense 1:1
    17.11.2024 Deportes Magallanes - Ñublense 1:1
    13.11.2024 Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes 2:1
    16.07.2023 Deportes Magallanes - Ñublense 1:1
    27.01.2023 Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes 3:2
    Latest results of Ñublense
    22.06.2025 Cobresal - Ñublense 1:1
    15.06.2025 Ñublense - Audax Italiano 2:3
    31.05.2025 Huachipato - Ñublense 0:1
    25.05.2025 Ñublense - OHiggins 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LimacheCobreloa3 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Union La CaleraCoquimbo1 : 4, 1 : 2
    3AntofagastaS. Wanderers2 : 3, 0 : 3
    4La SerenaSan Luis4 : 1, 1 : 3
    5U. De ChileCurico Unido2 : 2, 1 : 2
    6A. ItalianoDeportes Temuco2 : 0, 2 : 1
    7NublenseMagallanes2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8HuachipatoD. Concepcion2 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1LimacheCoquimbo3 : 2, 2 : 1
    2S. WanderersLa Serena1 : 5, 2 : 4
    3Curico UnidoA. Italiano0 : 1, 0 : 1
    4NublenseHuachipato1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1LimacheLa Serena
    2A. ItalianoHuachipato
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