Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense vs Ferroviário Fortaleza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza
Result
2:0
09/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
65
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
22
Total shots
65
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
22
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 79', 1 - 0, Thiago Alagoano ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 0, Jailson ,

Chances of winning


Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
58.9%
Draw
25.3%
Ferroviário Fortaleza
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 27.2% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 25.8% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's performance.
  • Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviário Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.77)
    3.67
    (3.33)
    5.85
    (4.2)
    7.9%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • ASA is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ferroviário is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, ASA is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that ASA will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ASA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 0:1
    06.01.2024 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 1:2
    05.01.2023 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 0
    3GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 0
    4CianorteBarra FC
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