Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish Copa del Rey
Soccer Spanish Copa del Rey Atlético Madrid - Barcelona
Result
0:1
02/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa del Rey - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)
Atlético Madrid - Barcelona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.78
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
05
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
80% (290/362)84% (421/500)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.95
Total shots
615
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1826
Through passes
100% (1/1)50% (1/2)
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
2211
Passes
80% (290/362)84% (421/500)
Long passes
56% (38/68)56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
74% (82/111)77% (106/137)
Crosses
25% (7/28)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.141.09
Fouls
1122
Tackles
54% (7/13)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4648
Clearances Total
1821
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.950.00
Goals prevented
0.950.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Azpilicueta C. 🟨,
  • 13', de Paul R. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Torres F. ⚽, Yamal L. (A),
  • 31', Mandava R. 🟨,
  • 35', de Jong F. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Simeone G. ↓, Lenglet C. ↑,
  • 46', Mandava R. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
  • 46', Azpilicueta C. ↓, Galan J. ↑,
  • 58', Le Normand R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
  • 58', Cubarsi P. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
  • 58', Lopez F. ↓, Araujo R. ↑,
  • 59', Molina N. 🟨,
  • 68', Balde A. 🟨,
  • 74', Torres F. ↓, Lewandowski R. ↑,
  • 81', Griezmann A. ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
  • 86', Yamal L. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
  • 90+3', Martin G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
31.3%		Draw
26%		Barcelona
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 25.8% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 25% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Atlético Madrid - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.06 ↑
    (2.88)    		 3.73 ↑
    (3.71)    		 2.25 ↓
    (2.34)    		 4%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (54 of 65 users predict this - 83.08%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.97% – 92.19%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-4.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 1.
    • Atlético has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Barcelona is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Barcelona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Correa A. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Bernal M. (Knee Injury) Casado M. (Knee Injury) Christensen A. (Calf Injury) Olmo D. (Groin Injury) ter Stegen M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético: Koke (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 22:32 (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Barcelona were as follows:
    25.02.2025 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 4:4
    21.12.2024 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 1:2
    17.03.2024 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 0:3
    03.12.2023 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 1:0
    23.04.2023 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    29.03.2025 Espanyol - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺
    12.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Getafe - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Barcelona
    30.03.2025 Barcelona - Girona 4:1 ✺
    27.03.2025 Barcelona - Osasuna 3:0 ✺
    11.03.2025 Barcelona - Benfica 3:1 ✺
    05.03.2025 Benfica - Barcelona 0:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 4:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1Deportivo GetxoBetis Valladolid2 : 1, 0 : 0
    2ByeAlaves
    3Textil EscudoSD Negreira0 : 4, 2 : 1
    4ByeReal Sociedad
    5Puerto de VegaCCD Alberite1 : 1, 4 : 0
    6ByeCelta Vigo
    7Ourense CFBye
    8ByeR. Oviedo
    9Caudal DeportivoBye
    10ByeGijon
    11Atl. TordesillasBye
    12ByeBurgos CF
    13TropezonBye
    14ByeCultural Leonesa
    15PortugaleteBye
    16ByeValladolid
    17NaxaraBye
    18ByeEibar
    19Atl. AstorgaBye
    20ByeMirandes
    21SD LogronesBye
    22ByeRacing Santander
    23UD SamanoBye
    24ByeDep. La Coruna
    25NumanciaBye
    26ByeArenas Getxo
    27UD LogronesBye
    28ByePonferradina
    29LangreoBye
    30ByeRacing Club Ferrol
    31Real AvilaBye
    32ByeReal Aviles
    33UD OurenseBye
    34ByePontevedra
    35Sant JustAtletico Calatayud4 : 1, 3 : 0
    36ByeMallorca
    37CD Sant JordiLourdes3 : 1, 1 : 0
    38ByeOsasuna
    39Atletic LleidaBye
    40ByeEspanyol
    41ConstanciaBye
    42ByeGirona
    43Valle EguesBye
    44ByeAndorra
    45MutilveraBye
    46ByeZaragoza
    47Utebo FCBye
    48ByeHuesca
    49PoblenseBye
    50ByeSabadell
    51EbroBye
    52ByeTarazona
    53Reus FCRBye
    54ByeCE Europa
    55BalearesBye
    56ByeGimnastic
    57Sant AndreuBye
    58ByeTeruel
    59ManisesUD Los Garres0 : 4, 2 : 0
    60ByeElche
    61Atletico MelillaPalma del Rio0 : 5, 0 : 5
    62ByeBetis
    63Sporting CeutaMaracena0 : 2, 1 : 1
    64ByeValencia
    65ToledoBye
    66ByeSevilla
    67OrihuelaBye
    68ByeLevante
    69Ciudad de LucenaBye
    70ByeVillarreal
    71RodaBye
    72ByeGranada CF
    73Ciudad CiezaBye
    74ByeCordoba
    75CD EsteponaBye
    76ByeMalaga
    77Lorca DeportivaBye
    78ByeAlmeria
    79UCAM MurciaBye
    80ByeCadiz CF
    81AntonianoBye
    82ByeCastellon
    83La UnionBye
    84ByeCeuta
    85TorrentBye
    86ByeTorremolinos
    87Puente GenilBye
    88ByeFC Cartagena SAD
    89JaenBye
    90ByeEldense
    91MurciaBye
    92ByeAntequera
    93Inter de ValdemoroUniv. Julio Suarez3 : 1, 1 : 1
    94ByeGetafe
    95CampanarioCD Yuncos0 : 2, 0 : 0
    96ByeRayo Vallecano
    97AzuagaBye
    98ByeLeganes
    99San FernandoBye
    100ByeAlbacete
    101CD ExtremaduraBye
    102ByeLas Palmas
    103NavalcarneroBye
    104ByeMerida AD
    105Rayo MajadahondaBye
    106ByeCF Talavera
    107Quintanar del ReyBye
    108ByeUD Ibiza
    109RSD AlcalaBye
    110ByeTenerife
    111GuadalajaraBye
    112ByeCacereno

    1/64-finals
    1Deportivo GetxoAlaves
    2SD NegreiraReal Sociedad
    3Puerto de VegaCelta Vigo
    4Ourense CFR. Oviedo
    5Caudal DeportivoGijon
    6Atl. TordesillasBurgos CF
    7TropezonCultural Leonesa
    8PortugaleteValladolid
    9NaxaraEibar
    10Atl. AstorgaMirandes
    11SD LogronesRacing Santander
    12UD SamanoDep. La Coruna
    13NumanciaArenas Getxo
    14UD LogronesPonferradina
    15LangreoRacing Club Ferrol
    16Real AvilaReal Aviles
    17UD OurensePontevedra
    18Sant JustMallorca
    19CD Sant JordiOsasuna
    20Atletic LleidaEspanyol
    21ConstanciaGirona
    22Valle EguesAndorra
    23MutilveraZaragoza
    24Utebo FCHuesca
    25PoblenseSabadell
    26EbroTarazona
    27Reus FCRCE Europa
    28BalearesGimnastic
    29Sant AndreuTeruel
    30UD Los GarresElche
    31Palma del RioBetis
    32MaracenaValencia
    33ToledoSevilla
    34OrihuelaLevante
    35Ciudad de LucenaVillarreal
    36RodaGranada CF
    37Ciudad CiezaCordoba
    38CD EsteponaMalaga
    39Lorca DeportivaAlmeria
    40UCAM MurciaCadiz CF
    41AntonianoCastellon
    42La UnionCeuta
    43TorrentTorremolinos
    44Puente GenilFC Cartagena SAD
    45JaenEldense
    46MurciaAntequera
    47Inter de ValdemoroGetafe
    48CD YuncosRayo Vallecano
    49AzuagaLeganes
    50San FernandoAlbacete
    51CD ExtremaduraLas Palmas
    52NavalcarneroMerida AD
    53Rayo MajadahondaCF Talavera
    54Quintanar del ReyUD Ibiza
    55RSD AlcalaTenerife
    56GuadalajaraCacereno

    1/32-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41TBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23TBD #45TBD #46
    24TBD #47TBD #48
    25TBD #49TBD #50
    26TBD #51TBD #52
    27TBD #53TBD #54
    28TBD #55TBD #56
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