Tlaxcala vs Atlético Morelia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia
Result
1:1
19/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)
Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
50
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
98
Corner Kicks
66
Goalkeeper Saves
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', Aguilar D. 🟨,
  • 40', Roman S. 🟨,
  • 40', Rios P. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Lopez R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Roman S. , Zamudio J. ,
  • 46', Palma M. , Millan O. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Pedroza M. ,
  • 65', Martinez J. ,
  • 65', Nambo M. , Polydoro L. ,
  • 70', Gama D. , Celaya J. ,
  • 71', Rios P. , Zago D. ,
  • 77', Lopez R. , Yrizar P. ,
  • 77', Figueroa F. , Islas O. ,
  • 83', Serna A. , Morales B. ,
  • 87', Zago D. 🟨,
  • 88', Morales B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tlaxcala
26%
Draw
25.8%
Atlético Morelia
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 26.5% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 26.4% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tlaxcala's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Morelia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tlaxcala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Morelia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (2.5)
    3.61
    (3.47)
    1.93
    (2.51)
    7.3%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 0.
    • Recent matches Tlaxcala is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Atlético Morelia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético Morelia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Atlético Morelia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9:24 (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tlaxcala won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
    31.10.2024 Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala 2:1
    08.02.2024 Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala 3:1
    20.09.2023 Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia 2:3
    06.01.2023 Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia 0:0
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    11.04.2025 Venados - Tlaxcala 2:1
    05.04.2025 Tlaxcala - Celaya 0:3
    29.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Dorados 3:2
    15.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Cancún 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Draw
    Super final

    Final
    1TapatioLeones Negros2 : 1, 1 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Tlaxcala - Atlético Morelia?
    It is being streamed on channel
    mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
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