Accrington Stanley vs Port Vale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy
Soccer English EFL Trophy Accrington Stanley - Port Vale
Result
0:2
07/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
Accrington Stanley - Port Vale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.20
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
70% (254/363)66% (220/332)
Yellow Cards
50
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.332.31
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
70% (254/363)66% (220/332)
Long passes
37% (30/81)35% (29/83)
Passes in final third
52% (59/113)49% (41/83)
Crosses
33% (5/15)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.71
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1413
Tackles
42% (8/19)47% (7/15)
Duels won
6269
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.310.33
Goals prevented
0.310.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Love D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Debrah J. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
  • 48', Madden P. 🟨,
  • 51', Kyle John ↓, Lomax B. ↑,
  • 67', Madden P. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
  • 68', Popoola A. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
  • 69', Paton R. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
  • 70', Stockley J. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
  • 78', Ward B. 🟥,
  • 78', Kelly M. 🟨,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Hall C. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
  • 82', Grant C. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
  • 85', 0 - 2, Faal M. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
  • 88', Matthews D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pye L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
20.4%		Draw
23.3%		Port Vale
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.9% 25.1% 53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 24.6% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Accrington Stanley - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.51 ↑
    (4.2)    		 4.02 ↑
    (3.66)    		 1.67 ↓
    (1.74)    		 7.1%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Port Vale?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
    • Recent performances by Accrington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Port Vale is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Port Vale is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Port Vale were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Port Vale - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    21.09.2024 Accrington Stanley - Port Vale 2:2
    07.04.2023 Accrington Stanley - Port Vale 3:0
    07.02.2023 Port Vale - Accrington Stanley 1:1
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    04.10.2025 Barnet - Accrington Stanley 2:0
    27.09.2025 Accrington Stanley - Walsall 1:3 ✺
    20.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺
    13.09.2025 Accrington Stanley - Colchester United 1:0
    06.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Port Vale
    04.10.2025 Port Vale - Northampton Town 0:0 ✺
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Port Vale - Mansfield Town 2:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:2 ✺
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWLLPts
    1Salford220005:16
    2Stockport County210016:63
    3Wolves U21210015:63
    4Wigan200021:40


    Group 2
    PlWWLLPts
    1Blackpool220007:16
    2Tranmere211004:35
    3Nottingham U21200113:41
    4Barrow200021:70


    Group 3
    PlWWLLPts
    1Bradford City220007:26
    2Doncaster220005:16
    3Grimsby200021:50
    4Everton U21200022:70


    Group 4
    PlWWLLPts
    1Lincoln220006:06
    2Notts Co210012:43
    3Barnsley100011:20
    4Manchester Utd U21100010:30


    Group 5
    PlWWLLPts
    1Bolton220004:06
    2Manchester City U21210015:43
    3Rotherham210013:33
    4Oldham200023:80


    Group 6
    PlWWLLPts
    1Harrogate220002:06
    2Huddersfield210016:33
    3Newcastle Utd U21201014:82
    4Mansfield200112:31


    Group 7
    PlWWLLPts
    1Port Vale220006:16
    2Fleetwood211006:25
    3Accrington200112:41
    4Leeds U21200021:80


    Group 8
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crewe220009:16
    2Burton210012:13
    3Chesterfield210012:73
    4Liverpool U21200020:40


    Group 9
    PlWWLLPts
    1Arsenal U21110002:13
    2Newport210012:23
    3Cardiff210011:13
    4Exeter100010:10


    Group 10
    PlWWLLPts
    1Plymouth220008:26
    2Bristol Rovers211005:45
    3Tottenham U21200116:101
    4Cheltenham200020:30


    Group 11
    PlWWLLPts
    1Northampton220004:06
    2Walsall210013:23
    3Shrewsbury210014:43
    4Chelsea U21200021:60


    Group 12
    PlWWLLPts
    1Reading320016:46
    2West Ham U21210016:43
    3Swindon110003:23
    4MK Dons200021:60


    Group 13
    PlWWLLPts
    1Stevenage220007:26
    2AFC Wimbledon210014:63
    3Bromley201014:52
    4Crystal Palace U21200114:61


    Group 14
    PlWWLLPts
    1Leyton Orient220005:26
    2Crawley210015:43
    3Peterborough210015:53
    4Aston Villa U21200024:80


    Group 15
    PlWWLLPts
    1Colchester220004:26
    2Gillingham210015:33
    3Wycombe210014:33
    4Fulham U21200022:70


    Group 16
    PlWWLLPts
    1Cambridge Utd110003:13
    2Luton210015:43
    3Barnet201012:52
    4Brighton U21100101:11

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