Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Crewe Alexandra - Newport County
Result
0:3
08/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 31
  • Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)
Crewe Alexandra - Newport County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.45
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
196
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
92
Blocked Shots
60
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
144
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
168
Offsides
02
Fouls
816
Throw-ins
2624
Touches in the Opposition Box
2522
Passes
80% (351/440)69% (193/280)
Passes in the final third
71% (104/146)53% (42/79)
Crosses
21% (9/42)33% (5/15)
Tackles
77% (10/13)50% (10/20)
Clearances Total
2663
Interceptions
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Antwi C. , Evans C. (A),
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Ajiboye D. , Kamwa B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sanders M. H. , Lowery T. ,
  • 46', Conway M. , Finney C. ,
  • 60', Knight-Lebel J. , Thibaut A. ,
  • 60', Ajiboye D. 🟨,
  • 66', Thomas J. 🟨,
  • 67', Antwi C. 🟨,
  • 75', Antwi C. , Martin J. ,
  • 75', Ajiboye D. , Patten K. ,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Baker-Richardson C. , Thomas J. (A),
  • 87', Finney C. , Billington L. ,
  • 89', Kamwa B. , Jameson K. ,
  • 90', Evans C. , Spellman M. ,
  • 90', Holicek M. , Agius C. ,
  • 90', Thibaut A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
61%
Draw
23.2%
Newport County
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67% 20.4% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1% 19.2% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.
  • Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Crewe Alexandra - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.39)
    4.06
    (4.58)
    5.97
    (7.44)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Newport County?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Crewe is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Crewe won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Newport County were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 2:1
    29.12.2023 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 1:1
    15.08.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 4:2
    08.05.2023 Newport County - Crewe Alexandra 2:2
    02.12.2022 Crewe Alexandra - Newport County 1:2
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Newport County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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