Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
American football NFL Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders
Result
34:27
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NFL - Round 4
Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

1st Downs
2417
Total Yards
435294
Passing Yards
307147
Rushing Yards
128147
Penalties
56
Penalties Yards
4550
Turnovers
11
Punts
22
Touchdowns
42
Rushing Touchdowns
20
Passing Touchdowns
22
Turnover Touchdowns
00
Field Goals Succeeded
24
Field Goals Attempted
24
Interception Thrown
11
Fumbles Lost
00
Sacks Allowed
12
Safeties
00
2-Point conversions
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (10 - 0)
  • 04:14, Romo J. P. (Field Goal),
  • 14:11, London D. (Touchdown),
  • 14:11, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
  • 2nd Quarter (7 - 10)
  • 03:29, McCaffrey L. (Touchdown),
  • 03:29, Gay M. (Extra Point),
  • 06:33, Robinson B. (Touchdown),
  • 06:33, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
  • 09:36, Gay M. (Field Goal),
  • 3rd Quarter (14 - 6)
  • 04:48, Gay M. (Field Goal),
  • 05:35, Pitts K. (Touchdown),
  • 05:35, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
  • 10:38, Gay M. (Field Goal),
  • 14:46, Allgeier T. (Touchdown),
  • 14:46, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
  • 4th Quarter (3 - 11)
  • 06:12, Samuel D. (Touchdown),
  • 06:12, Ertz Z. (Two-Point Conversion),
  • 13:03, Romo J. P. (Field Goal),
  • 13:31, Gay M. (Field Goal),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5xb8cv8h

Chances of winning


Atlanta Falcons
57.7%
Washington Commanders
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9% 50.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta Falcons's performance.
  • Washington Commanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Washington Commanders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta Falcons that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Washington Commanders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.99)

    2.26
    (1.85)
    5%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 43.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Washington will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 2 - 50%). Washington (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 23:21.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 0.
    • Atlanta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Washington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 227:219. (average 22.7:21.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 128:139. (average 21.3:23.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Washington Commanders - Atlanta Falcons 30:24
    15.10.2023 Atlanta Falcons - Washington Commanders 16:24
    27.11.2022 Washington Commanders - Atlanta Falcons 19:13
    Latest results of Atlanta Falcons
    NFL Table
    Main

    American Football
    PlWDLPCT
    1Indianapolis Colts5401163:890.800
    2Buffalo Bills5401153:1130.800
    3Jacksonville Jaguars5401127:1000.800
    4Pittsburgh Steelers430196:980.750
    5Denver Broncos5302117:840.600
    6New England Patriots5302125:1010.600
    7Los Angeles Chargers530298:980.600
    8Houston Texans5203108:610.400
    9Kansas City Chiefs5203125:1070.400
    10Cincinnati Bengals520385:1560.400
    11Baltimore Ravens5104141:1770.200
    12Miami Dolphins5104107:1450.200
    13Cleveland Browns510473:1230.200
    14Las Vegas Raiders510483:1390.200
    15Tennessee Titans510473:1410.200
    16New York Jets5005112:1570.000


    National Football
    PlWDLPCT
    1Detroit Lions5401174:1120.800
    2Philadelphia Eagles5401125:1090.800
    3San Francisco 49ers5401106:980.800
    4Tampa Bay Buccaneers5401135:1320.800
    5Green Bay Packers4211104:840.625
    6Seattle Seahawks5302146:1050.600
    7Washington Commanders5302134:1010.600
    8Minnesota Vikings5302123:970.600
    9Los Angeles Rams5302123:1070.600
    10Dallas Cowboys5212151:1540.500
    11Atlanta Falcons420276:860.500
    12Chicago Bears4202101:1170.500
    13Arizona Cardinals5203103:960.400
    14Carolina Panthers5203102:1190.400
    15New York Giants510487:1270.200
    16New Orleans Saints510492:1350.200

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