Luke Humphries vs Nathan Aspinall: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Darts World Grand Prix Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall
06/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Luke Humphries
65.5%
Nathan Aspinall
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luke Humphries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.44)

    2.68
    (2.75)
    8.1%
    (5.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Format: Double in, Double out.
    • Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 1. Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 23.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 4.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Humphries may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Humphries will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 101:87. (average 5.6:4.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall 6:4
    29.05.2025 Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall 10:7
    24.04.2025 Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall 6:3
    27.03.2025 Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall 6:5
    23.03.2025 Nathan Aspinall - Luke Humphries 6:1
    Latest results of Luke Humphries
    Latest results of Nathan Aspinall
    Draw
    2024

    1/16-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)Bunting S.2 : 1
    2van Barneveld R.Pietreczko R.1 : 2
    3Clayton J. (8)Edhouse R.2 : 0
    4van Veen G.Smith R.0 : 2
    5Cross R. (4)Littler L.2 : 1
    6Dolan B.Schindler M.0 : 2
    7Aspinall N. (5)Searle R.2 : 1
    8Rock J.Joyce R.0 : 2
    9Smith M. (2)Anderson G.1 : 2
    10De Decker M.Heta D.2 : 1
    11Price G. (7)Noppert D.2 : 1
    12Wright P.Wade J.1 : 2
    13van Gerwen M. (3)Gurney D.0 : 2
    14Dobey C.Cullen J.1 : 2
    15Chisnall D. (6)Menzies C.2 : 0
    16Woodhouse L.Van den Bergh D.1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)Pietreczko R.3 : 1
    2Clayton J. (8)Smith R.3 : 1
    3Cross R. (4)Schindler M.3 : 1
    4Aspinall N. (5)Joyce R.2 : 3
    5Anderson G.De Decker M.0 : 3
    6Price G. (7)Wade J.0 : 3
    7Gurney D.Cullen J.2 : 3
    8Chisnall D. (6)Van den Bergh D.1 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)Clayton J. (8)3 : 1
    2Cross R. (4)Joyce R.2 : 3
    3De Decker M.Wade J.3 : 0
    4Cullen J.Van den Bergh D.1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)Joyce R.5 : 0
    2De Decker M.Van den Bergh D.5 : 2

    Final
    1Humphries L. (1)De Decker M.4 : 6
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