Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League Two - Round 9
- Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (268/379) | 68% (251/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (268/379) | 68% (251/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (22/86) | 41% (34/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (77/138) | 52% (65/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Smith T. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Cavegn F. ⚽, Chang A. (A),
- 43', Thomas L. 🟨,
- 43', Omochere P. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
- 45+3', Harrison E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 1, Mbick M. ⚽, Payne J. (A),
- 55', Chang A. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
- 55', Cavegn F. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
- 59', Cotterill J. 🟨,
- 78', Mbick M. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
- 78', Bishop T. ↓, Harvey R. ↑,
- 78', Anderson H. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
- 79', Read A. 🟨,
- 79', Lopata K. 🟨,
- 80', Thomas L. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
- 83', McEachran J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Colchester United
28.1% | Draw
29.4% | Bristol Rovers
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colchester United's form might have worsened.Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rovers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Colchester United - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↑
(2.47) |
3.44 ↓
(3.46) |
2.39 ↓
(2.66) |
-1.7%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 9).
- In recent matches, Colchester has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bristol Rovers is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Colchester: Edwards O.
(Red Card)
Flanagan T.
(Injury)
Goodwin W.
(Thigh Injury)
Iandolo E.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Bristol Rovers?
Colchester United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Colchester United?
Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
23.11.2022
Colchester United
-
Bristol Rovers
1:2
Latest results of Colchester United
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Salford | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Swindon | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Notts Co | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | Bromley | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Oldham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Crewe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Barnet | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 9 |
| 18 | Accrington | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Barrow | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
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