Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Two Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town
Result
0:3
30/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 6
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.512.29
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
77% (314/407)80% (375/471)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.512.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.272.49
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
77% (314/407)80% (375/471)
Long passes
38% (30/80)36% (27/75)
Passes in final third
47% (55/117)64% (65/101)
Crosses
25% (5/20)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.700.77
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1211
Tackles
87% (13/15)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5259
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
2.490.27
Goals prevented
-0.510.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Kilkenny G. , Wright W. (A),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Glatzel P. ,
  • 41', 0 - 3, Drinan A. , Oldaker D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Wilson-Brown T. , Clarke O. ,
  • 46', Billington L. , Tezgel E. ,
  • 46', Powell J. , Golding J. ,
  • 52', Snowdon J. , McGregor J. ,
  • 56', Nichols T. 🟨,
  • 61', Glatzel P. , Palmer O. ,
  • 75', Connolly J. , Moult L. ,
  • 75', Agius C. , Finney C. ,
  • 76', Nichols T. , Ehibhatiomhan P. ,
  • 76', Drinan A. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 82', Hutchinson R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
43.1%
Draw
27.6%
Swindon Town
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.8% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 27.3% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.26)
    3.51
    (3.38)
    3.23
    (3.07)
    3.2%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Swindon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Ball J. (Knee Injury) Clarke O. (Ankle Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    24.08.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town 0:0
    13.01.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town 2:1
    12.08.2023 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:2
    19.11.2022 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:1
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Swindon860217:10718
    2Gillingham853012:5718
    3Salford851213:9416
    4Walsall85128:5316
    5Grimsby843114:9515
    6Chesterfield842212:10214
    7Bromley834112:8413
    8Crewe841312:9313
    9Bristol Rovers84139:9013
    10MK Dons833213:7612
    11Fleetwood833210:10012
    12Notts Co832312:10211
    13Cambridge Utd83239:8111
    14Oldham82425:5010
    15Barnet83148:11-310
    16Tranmere723211:839
    17Harrogate82248:12-48
    18Crawley82247:11-48
    19Colchester81437:9-27
    20Accrington71334:7-36
    21Barrow82066:11-56
    22Newport81258:13-55
    23Shrewsbury81256:16-105
    24Cheltenham81163:14-114

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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