HPK vs SaiPa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey Finnish SM-liiga HPK - SaiPa
10/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
HPK - SaiPa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


HPK
39.1%
Draw
23.7%
SaiPa
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 23.7% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 24% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • HPK - SaiPa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.28)
    3.91
    (3.94)
    2.52
    (2.65)
    6.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 1.
    • HPK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • SaiPa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, SaiPa has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 49:59. (average 2.5:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 2.1:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - SaiPa were as follows:
    01.10.2025 SaiPa - HPK 3:2
    14.03.2025 HPK - SaiPa 2:3
    19.02.2025 SaiPa - HPK 3:5
    05.12.2024 HPK - SaiPa 1:5
    28.11.2024 SaiPa - HPK 3:2
    Latest results of HPK
    04.10.2025 Tappara - HPK 2:4
    03.10.2025 HPK - Ässät 2:4
    01.10.2025 SaiPa - HPK 3:2
    27.09.2025 Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK 1:3
    26.09.2025 HPK - Pelicans 5:2
    Latest results of SaiPa
    04.10.2025 SaiPa - Vaasan Sport 5:1
    03.10.2025 SaiPa - Vaasan Sport 5:4
    01.10.2025 SaiPa - HPK 3:2
    27.09.2025 Pelicans - SaiPa 2:5
    26.09.2025 SaiPa - Mikkelin Jukurit 1:2
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat9700235:1921
    2JYP10700340:2821
    3Kiekko-Espoo12603335:3321
    4KooKoo12520541:4019
    5Tappara10600435:2418
    6Lukko11510531:3017
    7Jukurit11510527:3117
    8SaiPa11421438:3117
    9Karpat11501539:3516
    10TPS Turku10412321:2016
    11Hameenlinna10412326:2816
    12KalPa9330328:2915
    13Vaasan Sport12401730:3513
    14Pelicans11123521:3410
    15Ilves11211727:399
    16IFK Helsinki10211619:379

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