Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).

: Bundesliga - Round 4
Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.80
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
88% (463/527)	84% (356/424)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.40	0.03
Total shots
12	10
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
34	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
9	10
Passes
88% (463/527)	84% (356/424)
Long passes
56% (29/52)	38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
77% (140/181)	75% (65/87)
Crosses
22% (7/32)	36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.41	0.37
Throw-ins
25	13
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
25% (2/8)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
32	40
Clearances
19	43
Interceptions
9	15
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.03	1.40
Goals prevented
0.03	0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Skov Olsen A. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
60', Majer L. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
60', Vini Souza ↓, Eriksen C. ↑,
65', Beier M. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
73', Wimmer P. ↓, Wind J. ↑,
77', Adeyemi K. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
77', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
81', Maehle J. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
90+2', Sabitzer M. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Borussia Dortmund
65.9%

Draw
19.6%

Wolfsburg
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

19.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

18.9%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	5.11 ↑ (4.87)	7.13 ↑ (5.73)	1.6% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg?

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 67 - 91.8%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 3 - 4.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 85.5% – 98.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.
Borussia D is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Wolfsburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Borussia D has had a series of away games.
In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Sule N. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Wolfsburg: Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Silva F. (Muscle Injury)
We predict that Borussia D will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 52:9. (average 2.6:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:2. (average 3.2:0.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Wolfsburg?

Borussia Dortmund has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Borussia Dortmund?

Wolfsburg has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg were as follows:

03.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 4:0

22.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:3

29.10.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:0

17.02.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:1

23.09.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 1:0

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

16.09.2025 Juventus - Borussia Dortmund 4:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 3:0 ✺

23.08.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 3:3 ✺

18.08.2025 Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Wolfsburg

13.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Köln 3:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Wolfsburg - Mainz 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Heidenheim - Wolfsburg 1:3 ✺

16.08.2025 Hemelingen - Wolfsburg 0:9 ✺

09.08.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolfsburg 2:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	4	4	0	0	18:3	15	12
2	Dortmund	4	3	1	0	9:3	6	10
3	RB Leipzig	4	3	0	1	6:7	-1	9
4	FC Koln	4	2	1	1	9:7	2	7
5	St. Pauli	4	2	1	1	7:6	1	7
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	2	0	2	11:9	2	6
7	Freiburg	4	2	0	2	8:8	0	6
8	Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	5:5	0	6
9	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	8:10	-2	6
10	Union Berlin	4	2	0	2	8:11	-3	6
11	Bayer Leverkusen	4	1	2	1	8:7	1	5
12	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	7:6	1	5
13	Mainz	4	1	1	2	5:4	1	4
14	Werder Bremen	4	1	1	2	8:10	-2	4
15	Hamburger SV	4	1	1	2	2:8	-6	4
16	Augsburg	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3
17	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	2	2	1:6	-5	2
18	Heidenheim	4	0	0	4	2:9	-7	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball