Holstein Kiel vs St. Pauli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli
Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Additional information

  • : Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.551.21
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
81% (345/424)84% (326/388)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.551.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.581.69
Total shots
614
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
817
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
81% (345/424)84% (326/388)
Long passes
40% (21/52)38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
48% (37/77)63% (59/94)
Crosses
0% (0/11)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.171.25
Fouls
1511
Tackles
47% (7/15)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4445
Clearances Total
4329
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.690.58
Goals prevented
0.69-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Bernhardsson A. , Gigovic A. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Sinani D. ,
  • 37', Nemeth D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Becker T. , Porath F. ,
  • 46', Saad E. , Guilavogui M. ,
  • 47', Afolayan O. 🟨,
  • 60', Ivezic M. 🟨,
  • 61', Afolayan O. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 64', Dzwigala A. , Van Der Heyden S. ,
  • 68', Komenda M. , Geschwill M. ,
  • 68', Machino S. , Harres P. ,
  • 75', Knudsen M. , Schulz M. ,
  • 77', Harres P. 🟨,
  • 82', Wahl H. 🟨,
  • 83', Gigovic A. , Skrzybski S. ,
  • 86', Schulz M. 🟨,
  • 87', Sinani D. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Geschwill M. (Own goal),
  • 90+2', Guilavogui M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel 29.7%Draw 27.8%St. Pauli 42.5%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Holstein Kiel 32.9%Draw 27.7%St. Pauli 39.4%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Holstein Kiel 33.9%Draw 28.6%St. Pauli 38.2%

Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.24
(2.92)
3.46
(3.48)
2.24
(2.44)
4.4%
(3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0.
    • Holstein Kiel is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches St. Pauli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • St. Pauli will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Holtby L. (Muscle Injury) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury) Pichler B. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zec D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:30 (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:13 (average 2.2:1.3).
    How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against St. Pauli?
    Holstein Kiel has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
    How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Holstein Kiel?
    St. Pauli has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli were as follows:
    29.11.2024 St. Pauli - Holstein Kiel 3:1
    23.02.2024 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 3:4
    17.09.2023 St. Pauli - Holstein Kiel 5:1
    19.05.2023 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 3:4
    08.11.2022 St. Pauli - Holstein Kiel 0:0
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 29216283:295469
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 29189263:342963
    3Eintracht Frankfurt29156858:421651
    4RB Leipzig29139747:371048
    5Mainz29137946:341246
    6Freiburg291361040:45-545
    7B. Monchengladbach291351146:43344
    8Dortmund291261154:45942
    9Werder Bremen291261147:54-742
    10Augsburg29119933:40-742
    11Stuttgart291171152:46640
    12Wolfsburg291081151:45638
    13Union Berlin29971326:40-1434
    14Hoffenheim29791336:52-1630
    15St. Pauli29851625:35-1029
    16Heidenheim29641932:56-2422
    17Bochum29551929:61-3220
    18Holstein Kiel29461940:70-3018

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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