Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare
Result
2:0
10/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 25
Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.53
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
90% (646/720)78% (259/330)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.100.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.010.03
Total shots
126
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
287
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
90% (646/720)78% (259/330)
Long passes
42% (16/38)27% (13/48)
Passes in final third
82% (169/206)62% (48/77)
Crosses
11% (2/19)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.19
Throw-ins
2317
Fouls
1313
Tackles
70% (7/10)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3938
Clearances
1123
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.032.01
Goals prevented
0.030.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Baba S. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Koyamatsu T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Nakama H. , Segawa Y. ,
  • 58', Toshima S. , Harakawa R. ,
  • 58', Oda Y. , Luiz Phellype ,
  • 58', Ikeda M. , Hiraoka T. ,
  • 65', Ota S. , Ishii H. ,
  • 65', Fujii T. , Oiwa K. ,
  • 79', Onose K. , Okuno K. ,
  • 80', Watai M. , Konishi Y. ,
  • 80', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 87', Hosoya M. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 0, Nakagawa N. , Konishi Y. (A),
  • 90+1', Baba S. , Inukai T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashiwa Reysol
60.4%
Draw
22.4%
Shonan Bellmare
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 21.9% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 21.4% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.52)
    4.16
    (4.31)
    5.56
    (6.01)
    6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 77.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 50%). Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 4.
    • Kashiwa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Kashiwa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kashiwa is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Harada W. (Yellow Cards) Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Takahashi N. (Shoulder Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1
    17.08.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 1:2
    15.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 2:1
    08.07.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 1:1
    03.05.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 1:2
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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