Lech Poznań vs Korona Kielce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce
16/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Lech Poznań
61.6%
Draw
21.7%
Korona Kielce
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 21.5% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 21.1% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.5)
    4.33
    (4.38)
    5.61
    (5.93)
    6.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 4.
    • Lech is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Korona's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Korona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lech is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Lech will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 2:0
    29.09.2024 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 2:3
    25.05.2024 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 1:2
    02.12.2023 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 0:1
    19.05.2023 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 0:3
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock43107:2510
    2Legia32105:147
    3Radomiak Radom42119:637
    4Widzew Lodz42117:437
    5Termalica B-B42116:337
    6Cracovia421110:827
    7Jagiellonia32018:806
    8Gornik Zabrze42024:406
    9Lech Poznan32017:8-16
    10Arka Gdynia41213:305
    11Korona Kielce41124:5-14
    12Pogon Szczecin41127:9-24
    13Motor Lublin31115:7-24
    14Rakow31023:5-23
    15Zaglebie30213:4-12
    16GKS Katowice40133:9-61
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk40229:11-2-3

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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