Result
2:0
19/08/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem, hard - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (40/60) | 54% (20/37) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 40% (8/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 29% (2/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (17/37) | 33% (20/60) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 63% (15/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 17% (2/12) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 50% (12/24) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (49/84) | 49% (28/57) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 42% (35/84) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (78/141) | 45% (63/141) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 50% (5/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 20% (2/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 35% (7/20) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Baez
35.1% | Pablo Carreno-Busta
64.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Carreno-Busta's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.2) |
|
1.47 ↓
(1.61) |
5.1%
(7.6%) | |
Preview Facts
- Baez is ranked ATP: 40. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 113.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Carreno Busta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Sebastian Baez has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Sebastian Baez?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
25.10.2022
Sebastian Baez
-
Pablo Carreno-Busta
0:2
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Tsitsipas S. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bu Y. | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Navone M. | Suresh D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Giron M. (16) | |
| 5 | Baez S. (10) | Bye | |
| 6 | Nishioka Y. | Carreno-Busta P. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Walton A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Arnaldi M. (6) | |
| 9 | Diallo G. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Collignon R. | Basavareddy N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Medjedovic H. | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Fearnley J. (15) | |
| 13 | Mpetshi Perricard G. (9) | Bye | |
| 14 | Goffin D. | Martinez P. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Coric B. | Blanch Dar. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Muller A. (8) | |
| 17 | Borges N. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Majchrzak K. | Jarry N. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Ofner S. (PR) | Kopriva V. | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Korda S. (11) | |
| 21 | Kecmanovic M. (13) | Bye | |
| 22 | Kovacevic A. | Misolic F. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | McDonald M. | Holt B. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Darderi L. (3) | |
| 25 | Sonego L. (5) | Bye | |
| 26 | Dostanic S. (WC) | Vukic A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Comesana F. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Munar J. (12) | |
| 29 | Bautista-Agut R. (14) | Bye | |
| 30 | Safiullin R. | O'Connell C. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Gaston H. | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Griekspoor T. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Tsitsipas S. (1) | Bu Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Navone M. | Giron M. (16) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Baez S. (10) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Arnaldi M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Diallo G. (WO.) (4) | Basavareddy N. | |
| 6 | Medjedovic H. | Fearnley J. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Mpetshi Perricard G. (9) | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Blanch Dar. | Muller A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Borges N. (7) | Majchrzak K. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Kopriva V. | Korda S. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Kecmanovic M. (13) | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | McDonald M. | Darderi L. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Sonego L. (5) | Dostanic S. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Bellucci M. | Munar J. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bautista-Agut R. (14) | O'Connell C. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Fucsovics M. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Bu Y. | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Baez S. (10) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Diallo G. (4) | Medjedovic H. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Mpetshi Perricard G. (9) | Muller A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Majchrzak K. | Korda S. (11) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Kecmanovic M. (13) | Darderi L. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sonego L. (5) | Munar J. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bautista-Agut R. (14) | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Bu Y. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Medjedovic H. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Korda S. (11) | Kecmanovic M. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Munar J. (12) | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Korda S. (11) | Fucsovics M. (WO.) | |
Final| 1 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 2 |
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