Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 13
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.89 | 1.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
74% (283/381) | 78% (282/361) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.89 | 1.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.83 | 1.15 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
3 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
74% (283/381) | 78% (282/361) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (53/100) | 53% (31/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (70/121) | 57% (36/63) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (8/22) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.95 | 0.36 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
91% (10/11) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.15 | 0.83 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Liza P. ⚽, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (A),
- 8', Guarderas R. 🟨,
- 19', Liza P. 🟨,
- 45', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Vasquez A. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 65', Arias A. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 65', Guzman L. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 77', Liza P. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 79', Vilca R. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
- 90+3', Alvarez P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar 66.3% | Draw 20.8% | Atlético Grau 12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FBC Melgar's form might have worsened.Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.4 ↑ (1.3) |
4.51 ↓ (5.1) |
7.18 ↓ (9.5) |
7.5% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Melgar is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Grau: Cavagna F.
(Injury)
Garro J.
(Injury)
de la Cruz P.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Atlético Grau?
FBC Melgar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against FBC Melgar?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau were as follows:
23.09.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
21.04.2024
Atlético Grau
-
FBC Melgar
1:2
07.07.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Atlético Grau
3:0
24.10.2022
Atlético Grau
-
FBC Melgar
2:1
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | U. de Deportes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29:12 | 17 | 26 |
2 | Alianza Lima | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 26 |
3 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Alianza Atl | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 25 |
5 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24:14 | 10 | 23 |
7 | Cusco | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
8 | Sporting Cristal | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 22 |
9 | AD Tarma | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22:24 | -2 | 19 |
10 | Cienciano | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 17 |
11 | Sport Boys | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | 16 |
12 | Los Chankas | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Grau | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 15 |
14 | Cajamarca | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
15 | Binacional | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Ayacucho | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Alianza Huanuco | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |