Result
5:6 penalties
07/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 2)
- 00:15, 1 - 0, Faizov A. (G), Khusainov R. (A), Akhsyanov B. (A2)
- 02:47, 2 - 0, Khusainov R. (G),
- 04:06, 2 - 1, Gimayev S. (G), Buzayev K. (A),
- 13:01, 2 - 2, Kalimullin A. (G), Gayev V. (A), Buzayev K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 09:47, 2 - 3, Kalimullin A. (G), Kolomytsev I. (A),
- 12:43, 3 - 3, Akhsyanov B. (G), Faizov A. (A),
- 13:40, 4 - 3, Shaykhlislamov A. (G), Kireyev R. (A), Khafzetdinov A. (A2)
- 16:52, 4 - 4, Sakhapov T. (G), Gayev V. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:33, 5 - 4, Ilyichyov M. (G), Akhsyanov B. (A), Faizov A. (A2)
- 12:09, 5 - 5, Sakhapov T. (G), Fazlov M. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Buzayev K. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Adamyan A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Sakhapov T. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Ilyichyov M. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kolomytsev I. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Buzdyganov V. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Tolpar
46.4% | Draw
21.3% | Irbis Kazan
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tolpar's performance.Irbis Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Irbis Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tolpar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Irbis Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tolpar - Irbis Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.33) |
4.44 ↓
(4.6) |
2.93 ↑
(2.33) |
5.6%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 3.
- In recent matches, Tolpar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Irbis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tolpar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 52:64. (average 2.6:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 3:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tolpar won against Irbis Kazan?
Tolpar has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Irbis Kazan won against Tolpar?
Irbis Kazan has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tolpar - Irbis Kazan were as follows:
06.09.2025
Tolpar
-
Irbis Kazan
3:4
14.08.2025
Irbis Kazan
-
Tolpar
4:6
28.12.2024
Tolpar
-
Irbis Kazan
4:1
09.12.2024
Irbis Kazan
-
Tolpar
4:3
29.12.2023
Tolpar
-
Irbis Kazan
5:4
Latest results of Irbis Kazan
MHL Table
2025/26Western Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnaya Armiya | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 44:20 | 18 |
| 2 | Dyn. Moscow | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 35:22 | 18 |
| 3 | Loko | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 37:9 | 17 |
| 4 | MHC Spartak | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38:21 | 14 |
| 5 | Din. St. Petersburg | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 43:27 | 12 |
| 6 | Dinamo-Shinnik | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 12 |
| 7 | SKA-1946 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 40:25 | 12 |
| 8 | Almaz | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:24 | 10 |
| 9 | Mikhaylov Academy U20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25:18 | 8 |
Western Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | SKA-Akademiya | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27:23 | 14 |
| 2 | MHC Spartak MAX | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:20 | 8 |
| 3 | Amurskie Tigry | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:24 | 8 |
| 4 | AKM-Junior | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:26 | 8 |
| 5 | Tayfun | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23:30 | 8 |
| 6 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 7 | Kapitan | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:24 | 4 |
| 8 | Sakhalinskie Akuly | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16:31 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlant | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17:30 | 3 |
| 10 | Dinamo Karelia | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 19:58 | 2 |
| 11 | Red Mashine | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9:46 | 0 |
Eastern Conference - Gold Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Omskie Yastreby | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 52:11 | 20 |
| 2 | Stalnye Lisy | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Irbis | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 37:35 | 14 |
| 4 | Mamonty Yugry | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 25:20 | 13 |
| 5 | Avto | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 37:32 | 12 |
| 6 | Chaika | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27:25 | 12 |
| 7 | Tolpar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 37:26 | 11 |
| 8 | Belye Medvedi | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 32:30 | 10 |
| 9 | Kuznetskie Medvedi | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28:40 | 9 |
Eastern Conference - Silver Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Molot Perm | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 36:33 | 12 |
| 2 | Sibirskie Snaipery | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 34:26 | 10 |
| 3 | Sputnik Almetievsk | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 37:36 | 8 |
| 4 | Ladya | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:23 | 8 |
| 5 | Reaktor | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20:24 | 8 |
| 6 | AKM-Novomoskovsk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 30:35 | 8 |
| 7 | Loko-76 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 5 |
| 8 | Krasnoyarskie Rysi | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15:35 | 5 |
| 9 | Snezhnye Barsy | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23:62 | 4 |
| 10 | Tyumensky Legion | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13:39 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MHL (Play Offs: )
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