Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Welsh Cymru Premier Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town
Result
3:1
21/12/2024 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: Cymru Premier - Round 19
  • Referee: Jones A. (Wal)
Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
128
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
53
Corner Kicks
13
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Yellow Cards
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', Huxley C. 🟨,
  • 45', Walsh L. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 0, Flint N. ,
  • 45+5', Bradford L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 72', 2 - 0, Evans J. ,
  • 74', Williams G. , Faux J. ,
  • 84', Hartley Z. 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Lloyd L. ,
  • 86', 3 - 1, Evans J. ,
  • 88', Huxley C. , Torry D. ,
  • 90+1', Mooney P. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Downey S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Aberystwyth Town
17.4%
Draw
22.2%
Caernarfon Town
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 22% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9% 21.6% 59.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.3
    (4.78)
    4.15
    (4.2)
    1.52
    (1.57)
    8.6%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
    • Aberystwyth is Cymru Premier (Relegation Group )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Caernarfon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Caernarfon is a favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Aberystwyth won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:28 (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aberystwyth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
    15.10.2024 Caernarfon Town - Aberystwyth Town 1:4
    17.10.2023 Caernarfon Town - Aberystwyth Town 3:0
    09.09.2023 Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town 2:4
    22.04.2023 Aberystwyth Town - Caernarfon Town 3:2
    17.03.2023 Caernarfon Town - Aberystwyth Town 0:1
    Latest results of Aberystwyth Town
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Draw
    Conference League - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Haverfordwest (3)Bye
    3Caernarfon (4)Barry (7)5 : 2
    4Cardiff Metropolitan (5)Bala (6)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Haverfordwest (3)Bye
    2Caernarfon (4)Cardiff Metropolitan (5)1 : 0

    Final
    1Haverfordwest (3)Caernarfon (4)
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